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Quantum computational advantage in random-circuit sampling on IBM superconducting quantum computers

Tigran Sedrakyan, Yuxuan Zhang, Hovnatan Karapetyan, Joshua D. Baktay, Hrant Gharibyan, Hayk Tepanyan
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Two independent fidelity estimators---mirror benchmarking and three- and four-patch cross-entropy benchmarking (XEB)---agree with each other at every measured depth, the mirror from 4 to 40 cycles and the patched estimators from 20 to 40 cycles, across more than two orders of magnitude of fidelity decay, and exceed the first-generation Nighthawk r1 device by more than an order of magnitude at fixed depth. The 36-cycle circuits sit at the depth where tensor-network contraction cost saturates at system size: a contraction-cost estimator validated against the published Sycamore and Zuchongzhi networks places the single-amplitude cost at $\sim$$10^{22}$ complex operations.
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Quantum Physics arXiv:2609.28657 (quant-ph) [Submitted on 23 Sep 2026] Title:Quantum computational advantage in random-circuit sampling on IBM superconducting quantum computers Authors:Tigran Sedrakyan, Yuxuan Zhang, Hovnatan Karapetyan, Joshua D. Baktay, Hrant Gharibyan, Hayk Tepanyan View a PDF of the paper titled Quantum computational advantage in random-circuit sampling on IBM superconducting quantum computers, by Tigran Sedrakyan and 5 other authors View PDF HTML (experimental) Abstract:We report forward random-circuit sampling (RCS) on the 120-qubit Nighthawk r2 superconducting processor (\textit{ibm\_phoenix}) with square-lattice connectivity, using 61 qubits, native CZ gates, and the standard cloud execution stack with no benchmark-specific calibration. Two independent fidelity estimators---mirror benchmarking and three- and four-patch cross-entropy benchmarking (XEB)---agree with each other at every measured depth, the mirror from 4 to 40 cycles and the patched estimators from 20 to 40 cycles, across more than two orders of magnitude of fidelity decay, and exceed the first-generation Nighthawk r1 device by more than an order of magnitude at fixed depth. The 36-cycle circuits sit at the depth where tensor-network contraction cost saturates at system size: a contraction-cost estimator validated against the published Sycamore and Zuchongzhi networks places the single-amplitude cost at $\sim$$10^{22}$ complex operations. At $F_{\mathrm{XEB}}(36)=2.3\times10^{-3}$ under favorable memory assumptions this implies $1.2\times10^{27}$ machine operations within the bounded-fidelity rejection-sampling model --- more than a century of runtime on the Frontier supercomputer --- to collect a $10^{6}$-sample ensemble, which takes only 19\,s on Nighthawk r2. To our knowledge, this is the first demonstration of quantum advantage for a vanilla random-circuit sampling on a commercially and broadly accessible quantum processor that most non-expert quantum computer users can easily replicate. Subjects: Quantum Physics (quant-ph) Cite as: arXiv:2609.28657 [quant-ph] (or arXiv:2609.28657v1 [quant-ph] for this version) https://doi.org/10.48550/arXiv.2609.28657 Focus to learn more arXiv-issued DOI via DataCite (pending registration) Submission history From: Tigran Sedrakyan [view email] [v1] Wed, 23 Sep 2026 18:03:38 UTC (217 KB) Full-text links: Access Paper: View a PDF of the paper titled Quantum computational advantage in random-circuit sampling on IBM superconducting quantum computers, by Tigran Sedrakyan and 5 other authorsView PDFHTML (experimental)TeX Source view license Current browse context: quant-ph new | recent | 2026-09 References & Citations INSPIRE HEP NASA ADSGoogle Scholar Semantic Scholar export BibTeX citation Loading... BibTeX formatted citation × loading... Data provided by: Bookmark Bibliographic Tools Bibliographic and Citation Tools Bibliographic Explorer Toggle Bibliographic Explorer (What is the Explorer?) Connected Papers Toggle Connected Papers (What is Connected Papers?) Litmaps Toggle Litmaps (What is Litmaps?) scite.ai Toggle scite Smart Citations (What are Smart Citations?) Code, Data, Media Code, Data and Media Associated with this Article alphaXiv Toggle alphaXiv (What is alphaXiv?) Links to Code Toggle CatalyzeX Code Finder for Papers (What is CatalyzeX?) DagsHub Toggle DagsHub (What is DagsHub?) GotitPub Toggle Gotit.pub (What is GotitPub?) Huggingface Toggle Hugging Face (What is Huggingface?) ScienceCast Toggle ScienceCast (What is ScienceCast?) Demos Demos Replicate Toggle Replicate (What is Replicate?) Spaces Toggle Hugging Face Spaces (What is Spaces?) Spaces Toggle TXYZ.AI (What is TXYZ.AI?) Related Papers Recommenders and Search Tools Link to Influence Flower Influence Flower (What are Influence Flowers?) Core recommender toggle CORE Recommender (What is CORE?) Author Venue Institution Topic About arXivLabs arXivLabs: experimental projects with community collaborators arXivLabs is a framework that allows collaborators to develop and share new arXiv features directly on our website. Both individuals and organizations that work with arXivLabs have embraced and accepted our values of openness, community, excellence, and user data privacy. arXiv is committed to these values and only works with partners that adhere to them. Have an idea for a project that will add value for arXiv's community? Learn more about arXivLabs. Which authors of this paper are endorsers? | Disable MathJax (What is MathJax?)

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