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Was Last Week The Tipping Point For Stocks?

Seeking Alpha
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Market analysts debated whether last week’s bearish geopolitical and oil shocks marked a bull-market tipping point, defined not by bad news alone but by investors’ shifting reactions to it. The current bullish narrative—resilient economy, rising earnings, stable inflation, and expected fiscal stimulus—has sustained "buy-the-dip" momentum despite volatility. A true tipping point occurs when markets stop ignoring bearish news, sell into bullish news, and react with conviction to downturns, signaling a psychological shift. Geopolitical tensions and oil shocks, while historically significant, may not yet outweigh the bullish underpinnings of tax refunds and a stable labor market. MarketGauge’s proprietary models emphasize price action over passive strategies, arguing systematic, repeatable trading—not buy-and-hold—mitigates risk in volatile transitions.
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MarketGauge1.44K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(18min)CommentsSummaryLast week was filled with more than a few small bearish events, but did they create a tipping point for the bull market?Bull markets don't tip into bear trends because of bearish news. The tipping point is when markets stop ignoring bearish news, selling into bullish news, and sell with conviction on bearish news.The war and the oil shock have come in the context where there is a strong buy-the-dip bullish narrative grounded in the belief in a resilient economy, rising earnings expectations, high but stable inflation, expected future fiscal stimulus from tax refunds, and a weak but stable labor market. shih-wei/E+ via Getty Images By Geoff Bysshe Last week will be remembered as historically significant in geopolitics and the oil markets, but it’s not clear that the stock market will receive the same recognition.

In Malcom Gladwell’s best-selling book, heThis article was written byMarketGauge1.44K FollowersFollowMarketGauge was founded 25 ago years by successful floor traders turned hedge fund managers. Their experts have over 100 years of diversified experience as professional traders, technologists, and educators. MarketGauge’s mission is to provide strategic and actionable information that empower novice to professional investors and advisors to surpass their financial goals. We accomplish our mission with educational courses, proprietary trading tools, and proven quant-based models. MarketGauge’s core philosophy is to identify both the biggest macro trends and emerging ones using our proprietary tools / indicators and proven trading models. MG employs short-term tactics derived from years of highly successful floor trading to precisely maximize profits and minimize risk. Price action is the primary driver. However, MG layers in fundamentals as well. MG is committed to trading with a methodical, systematic and repeatable approach. MG believes that is the key to success. Their philosophy is counter to the commonly disseminated tactics by many Wall street analysts. They believe that passive management and buy and hold is downright dangerous. Furthermore, all MG’s investing models include track records with daily and weekly updates. Their performance is always transparent. Since inception, MarketGauge has supplied market analytics to some of the biggest financial institutions such as Barron’s, Fidelity, as well as thousands of individual investor and active traders. Their insights can be found at Benzinga, Stocks and Commodities, TalkMarkets, Investing Shortcuts, AAAII , and Traders Library. CBS MarketWatch rated our twitter feed as one of the top 50 to watch for financial information.

Each Market Gauge expert has a special focus and domain within the company. Their unique skill sets are all linked together from their common experience, and a commitment to risk management. They all use the same indicators and tools.

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