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The Netherlands is the best bet to win the FIFA World Cup

Brett Arends
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Financial analyst Joachim Klement predicts the Netherlands will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup, citing his proprietary mathematical model that correctly forecasted the last three winners (Germany 2014, France 2018, Argentina 2022). Betting on the Dutch now could yield a 1900% pre-tax return, per Klement’s analysis, though he warns of inherent gambling risks despite his model’s perfect track record. Klement’s forecast, released in April 2026, marks his fourth consecutive World Cup prediction, leveraging data-driven methods rather than traditional soccer metrics. The prediction comes from Klement, a provocative financial guru and former McKinsey analyst, known for unconventional market insights and quantitative approaches. Author Brett Arends, an award-winning financial journalist, frames the claim as bold but credible given Klement’s unblemished record in prior tournaments.
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The Netherlands is the best bet to win the FIFA World Cup (4 min)(4 min)The Dutch will win this summer’s FIFA World Cup. If you bet on them now, you stand to make a staggering 1900% return on your money before taxes.So, at least, argues the always provocative financial guru Joachim Klement in his latest quadrennial forecast. It’s noteworthy because, so far, Klement is an astonishing three-for-three: Before the start of the 2014, 2018 and 2022 World Cup tournaments, he used his proprietary mathematical model to predict the eventual German, French and Argentine victories.About the AuthorBrett Arends is an award-winning financial writer with many years experience writing about markets, economics and personal finance. He has received an individual award from the Society of American Business Editors and Writers for his financial writing, and was part of the Boston Herald team that won two others. He has worked as an analyst at McKinsey Co., and is a Chartered Financial Consultant. His latest book, "Storm Proof Your Money", was published by John Wiley Co.A Dow Jones CompanyCopyright © 2026 MarketWatch, Inc. All rights reserved.

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