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Anthropic’s rise is giving some OpenAI investors second thoughts

Connie Loizos
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⚡ Quantum Brief
OpenAI’s $852 billion valuation faces growing skepticism from investors as Anthropic surges, with its annualized revenue tripling to $30 billion by March 2026, driven by enterprise demand for coding tools. Secondary markets reflect the shift: Anthropic shares are in high demand while OpenAI trades at a discount, with one investor noting OpenAI’s valuation assumes a $1.2 trillion IPO—making Anthropic’s $380 billion seem undervalued. Iconiq Capital, which invested over $1 billion in Anthropic, openly favors it over OpenAI, with partner Roy Luo stating the AI market will reward the top player disproportionately, declaring, “We picked.” OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar countered skepticism, citing its record $122 billion fundraise—the largest private round ever—as proof of enduring investor confidence amid strategic pivots. The rivalry mirrors Sam Altman’s Y Combinator era, where aggressive valuations left some startups struggling, raising questions about OpenAI’s ability to sustain its dominance against Anthropic’s rapid growth.
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In Brief Posted: 7:31 PM PDT · April 14, 2026 Image Credits:ChatGPT Connie Loizos Anthropic’s rise is giving some OpenAI investors second thoughts OpenAI’s $852 billion valuation is facing skepticism from some of its own investors as the company scrambles to reorient itself around enterprise customers and fend off Anthropic, according to the Financial Times. Anthropic’s annualized revenue jumped from $9 billion at the end of 2025 to $30 billion by the end of March, driven largely by demand for its coding tools. One investor who has backed both companies told the FT that justifying OpenAI’s round required assuming an IPO valuation of $1.2 trillion or more — making Anthropic’s current $380 billion valuation look like the relative bargain. The secondary market tells a similar story right now, where demand for Anthropic shares has grown nearly insatiable while OpenAI shares are trading at a discount. Altman has been here before. During his tenure leading Y Combinator, aggressive valuation inflation left some portfolio companies financially stranded while others proved worth every penny and then some. Iconiq Capital partner Roy Luo — whose firm has invested over $1 billion in Anthropic while holding a smaller stake in OpenAI — told the FT where he stood. “There’s room for both, but there is fundamentally a number one and a number two dynamic, and the number one will win disproportionately,” he said. “We picked.” OpenAI CFO Sarah Friar pushed back, telling the FT that the company’s $122 billion raise — the largest private fundraising in history — was evidence of continued investor confidence. Topics AI, Anthropic, iconiq capital, OpenAI April 30 San Francisco, CA StrictlyVC kicks off the year in SF. Get in the room for unfiltered fireside chats with industry leaders, insider VC insights, and high-value connections that actually move the needle. Tickets are limited. REGISTER NOW Newsletters See More Subscribe for the industry’s biggest tech news TechCrunch Daily News Every weekday and Sunday, you can get the best of TechCrunch’s coverage. TechCrunch Mobility TechCrunch Mobility is your destination for transportation news and insight.

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