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Why China’s central bank won’t save the country from deflation

The Economist
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Chinese regulators warned commercial banks on February 9, 2026, to reduce holdings of U.S. Treasury bonds, triggering market reactions including a weaker dollar and volatile Treasury prices. The move signals a shift in China’s financial strategy, moving beyond exchange-rate management as its primary economic tool amid persistent deflationary pressures. Global investors reacted sharply to the news, fearing potential destabilization of U.S. debt markets if China significantly cuts its $1+ trillion Treasury holdings. Despite the warning, analysts doubt China will fully divest, as Treasuries remain a key reserve asset, but the directive reflects deeper concerns over domestic economic stagnation. The central bank’s limited policy options suggest deflation risks persist, with structural reforms—not monetary tools—seen as the only long-term solution.
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Finance & economics | MarginaliaWhy China’s central bank won’t save the country from deflationIt’s not about the exchange rate any moreSharePhotograph: AP Feb 12th 2026|3 min readFOR DECADES Americans have fretted that China might dump its vast holdings of Treasuries, undermining the dollar. Global investors therefore snapped to attention when Bloomberg, a news agency, reported on February 9th that China’s regulators have warned commercial banks against holding too many American government bonds. Some banks have been told to cut their exposure. In response to the news, the dollar fell against China’s yuan and Treasury prices wobbled. Already have an account?Log in Continue with a free trial Get full access to our independent journalism for free Free trial Or create a free account to unlock just this article Create account Explore moreShareReuse this contentThe Economist TodayHandpicked stories, in your inboxA daily newsletter with the best of our journalismSign upYes, I agree to receive exclusive content, offers and updates to products and services from The Economist Group. I can change these preferences at any time.More from Finance & economicsAmerica’s welfare state is more European than you think State-level policies are making up for stingy federal provisionA viral research note on AI gets its economics wrongToo much of a good thingThe AI productivity boom is not here (yet)Artificial intelligence is improving fast. Its effect on output, not so much ButtonwoodMarkets are churning furiously beneath a calm surfaceAI is prompting investors to reassess every business model under the sunDonald Trump answers a Supreme Court rebuke with new tariff threatsThe immediate economic impact will be more uncertaintyThe EU is thrashing out a more muscular set of economic policies The bloc is done playing nicely

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