Weekly Market Compass: No. 13, Geopolitical Risk Sets The Pace

Agar Capital4.08K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(10min)CommentsSummaryGeopolitical tensions and failed U.S.-Iran negotiations have driven extreme volatility in equities, commodities, and safe-haven assets.The S&P 500 remains below its 200-day moving average, signaling broad market weakness and a defensive investor shift from overvalued sectors.Severe backwardation in WTI crude futures reflects panic over oil supply disruptions, elevating inflation and interest rate risk.Alphabet's TurboQuant AI announcement triggered a selloff in memory stocks, but I see this as an overreaction, presenting a potential buying opportunity. Richard Drury/DigitalVision via Getty Images The past week has seen stock markets experience strong swings due to geopolitical events in the Middle East. The key event of the week could be President Trump's announcement that he will suspend attacks onThis article was written byAgar Capital4.08K FollowersFollowI’m a Portfolio manager (flexible equity funds and private clients), fundamental equity research, macro and geopolitical strategy.Over 10 years across global markets, managing multi-asset strategies and equity portfolios at a European asset manager.I combine top-down macro, bottom-up stock selection and real-time positioning (Bloomberg, models, data).I focus on earnings, tech disruption, policy shifts and capital flows — to identify mispriced opportunities before the market.On Seeking Alpha I share high-conviction ideas, contrarian views and deep breakdowns of both growth and value names.For more insights: follow me on X @AgarCapitalAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of SPX, NDX either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.