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It was supposed to be another boom year for the economy. March changed everything.

Allie Kelly,Jennifer Sor,Aditi Bharade
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The Iran war and a partial U.S. government shutdown disrupted economic growth in March 2026, reversing optimism for a boom year by spiking oil prices and inflating costs across travel, housing, and goods. Air travel collapsed under long TSA lines, staff shortages, and surging ticket prices, forcing travelers like Mickey Lyons to consider alternatives like trains or driving to avoid airport chaos and high fares. Inflation is projected to hit 4.2% annually—nearly double February’s rate—as fuel costs ripple through shipping, groceries, and utilities, prompting the Federal Reserve to hold interest rates steady in April. Mortgage rates are climbing again, job losses resumed after months of growth, and Wall Street fears recession risks if the war and funding gaps persist, eroding household wealth by up to $1.5 trillion this quarter. Consumer confidence plummeted to a three-month low, with travelers facing 24-hour delays, missed flights, and uncertainty, while economists warn of prolonged economic turbulence through summer 2026.
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It was supposed to be another boom year for the economy. March changed everything.

Between high energy prices and a partial government shutdown, air travel was a disaster in March. Bloomberg 2026-03-30T04:30:01.246Z Share Copy link Email Facebook WhatsApp X LinkedIn Bluesky Threads lighning bolt icon An icon in the shape of a lightning bolt.

Impact Link Save Saved Read in app Loading audio narration... This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Become an Insider and start reading now. Have an account? Log in. It was supposed to be another boom year for the US economy. But for many Americans, that outlook changed rapidly. The Iran war and partial government shutdown scrambled travel and prices for months to come. AI-generated summary Summaries are generated by an AI model trained on Business Insider's articles. AI may make mistakes or provide inaccurate/incomplete information. We're unable to load that answer right now. Please try again. How is the Iran war affecting travel? How does a government shutdown impact airlines? How does inflation affect consumer behavior? What are the economic impacts of oil prices? What alternatives do travelers have to flying? Mickey Lyons is holding off on booking her next vacation — at least until prices drop. "I can't believe I'm saying this," the 53-year-old Detroit resident said. "But I'm considering driving across the border to Windsor, Ontario, and taking a 12-hour train ride to Montreal rather than deal with airport hassles."While Lyons is a case study for the burgeoning vacation debate of 2026 — Are you better off flying, driving, or staying put? — long security lines aren't the only thing plaguing Americans. The sudden onset of the Iran war has scrambled prices, mortgage rates, and the overall economic outlook in what was supposed to be another boom year for the US economy. In March, Business Insider heard from dozens of frustrated travelers, exhausted airport staff, concerned economists, and cautious investors dealing with the ongoing consequences of another war in the Middle East and a partial government shutdown. After a period of optimism about a stabilizing economy, one month threw the outlook for the rest of the year into turmoil. For those planning travel, looking to switch jobs, or buy a home, 2026 just took an unwelcome detour. The economy's March madness What smart people are saying about the market sell-off Emily Stewart Welcome to the summer of the staycation A $1 billion fund manager who sold 70% of his firm's stock holdings says these are the opportunities he's waiting to jump on Barclays says the 'Trump put' is fading, and the president can no longer prop up stocks as headline fatigue sets in Jobs, mortgage rates, and prices disruptedDespite DHS saying it will resume paying TSA agents, it'll take months to get back on track. Plus, spiking oil prices due to the Iran war are just the beginning of the ripple effects on inflation, as higher fuel costs raise prices for everything from flights and shipping to groceries. Americans may have no choice but to tighten their belts. Costs could climb for food, electricity, and other goods if the war continues: The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development said it expects US inflation to average 4.2% this year, nearly double the 2.4% annualized price growth recorded in February.It's part of why the Federal Reserve backpedaled on its recent economic optimism, and is likely to hold rates steady again in April to curb inflation. In anticipation of hotter price growth, mortgage rates are climbing again after a steady decline in the 30-year fixed rate. Job seekers stuck in the low-hire "Great Freeze" market likely won't feel relief anytime soon either. The latest jobs report showed shocking losses across a variety of white- and blue-collar sectors following months of growth.On Wall Street, March has spurred whispers of a recession, especially if the Iran war and federal funding gaps continue. Household wealth is also set to dip as much as $1.5 trillion this quarter, one Pantheon Macroeconomics estimate said, as market swings take a hit to Americans' portfolios and prompt decreased spending. A major consumer confidence indicator fell to its lowest level since December. Each data point is a bellwether for America's broader economic health, and all signs are pointing toward a rocky spring and summer. The DHS's plan to pay TSA will slowly shorten security lines, but cost hikes will likely stick around for much longer.For many travelers, the hardest part is the uncertainty of when it will all end. Bazela Malik, an accountant based in Florida, said her journey from LaGuardia to Fort Lauderdale turned into an over-24-hour nightmare involving two missed flights and several expensive Ubers. Megan Walsh, a copywriter from New York City, said she waited in a four-hour airport line while traveling back from New Orleans after her sister's bachelorette vacation. "You know the game, 'Snake?' It was like that — the line was eating itself," Walsh said. "We couldn't figure out where the end of the line was; there were loops and loops of people."Alexandra Karplus contributed reporting.

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