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TSMC Q4: Investors Are Still Underestimating The TAM Of AI Accelerators

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⚡ Quantum Brief
TSMC reported record Q1 2026 results with 40.6% revenue growth and 66.2% gross margins, outperforming expectations despite maintaining unchanged full-year guidance. AI accelerator demand remains the primary growth driver, with TSMC’s advanced nodes (N3, N2, A16, A14) securing long-term visibility amid surging AI infrastructure investments. The company’s valuation at 19x FY27 P/E is deemed justified due to its critical role in AI hardware production, transitioning from an Apple supplier to the backbone of the AI revolution. Analysts project a 25% upside with a $430 target price, citing revenue growth, operating leverage, and a sustained CapEx supercycle through 2028. TSMC’s competitive edge over Intel, Samsung, and Tesla solidifies its dominance in cutting-edge semiconductor manufacturing, reinforcing bullish long-term outlook.
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KL Research329 FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(17min)CommentsSummaryTSMC (TSM) delivered a strong 1Q26 double-beat, with 40.6% revenue growth and record 66.2% gross margins, but did not raise full-year guidance.I remain bullish on TSM, driven by robust AI accelerator demand, expanding advanced node visibility (N3/N2/A16/A14), and entrenched competitive advantages over Intel, Samsung, and Tesla.TSMC's valuation at 19x FY27 P/E is justified by its pivotal role in the AI revolution, shifting from an 'Apple supplier' to the industry's production linchpin.My DCF-derived target price is $430, reflecting a 25% upside, underpinned by higher revenue growth, operating leverage, and a CapEx supercycle through 2028. BING-JHEN HONG/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Introduction Readers on Seeking Alpha have known I’ve covered the stock since 2024. Since my previous analysis, TSMC (TSM) stock has surged 12%, outperforming the S&P 500’s 3%, reflecting investors’ capital rotation into picks-and-shovels names in the global AIThis article was written byKL Research329 FollowersFollowA long-term investor focused on quality growth stocks at a reasonable price. My investment objective is to identify market asymmetries with positive reward-to-risk. I invest in high-quality, wide-moat companies that generate strong cash flow and trade at a fair price relative to their value. Please feel free to subscribe to my channel to support its development.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of TSM either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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