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TQQQ: A Correction Could Be A Blessing In Disguise (Technical Analysis)

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⚡ Quantum Brief
A decade-long bull on the Nasdaq-100’s 3x leveraged ETF argues corrections create better long-term entry points, advocating disciplined risk management to capitalize on volatility. The ETF’s 3x leverage magnifies gains and losses, but blending it with cash and using moving-average strategies can reduce drawdowns while preserving upside potential. A systematic approach—holding the ETF only when short-term moving averages exceed long-term ones—outperforms the Nasdaq-100 during bear markets while limiting erosion. This strategy offers a dual advantage: beating the market in downturns and leveraging recoveries, though it doesn’t guarantee superiority in all conditions. The author, a hedge fund manager and former Bridgewater analyst, emphasizes long-term bullishness on tech but stresses tactical adjustments to navigate volatility.
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DM Martins Research21.21K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(8min)CommentsSummaryI have been bullish on ProShares UltraPro QQQ for 10+ years, favoring a deeper correction to enhance long-term returns with disciplined risk management.TQQQ's 3x leverage amplifies both upside and downside; blending with cash and using moving averages can mitigate volatility and drawdown risks.A moving-average strategy—owning TQQQ when its short-term average exceeds the long-term—can outperform QQQ during prolonged bear markets while limiting capital erosion.While not always superior, this systematic approach provides a win-win: market-beating returns in downturns and leveraged upside in recoveries. ismagilov/iStock via Getty Images In the very long run, defined here as a period of 10 years or more, I am bullish on the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and its super-aggressive, leveraged ETF version, the ProShares UltraPro QQQ (This article was written byDM Martins Research21.21K FollowersFollowDaniel Martins is the founder of independent research firm DM Martins Research. The firm's work is centered around building more efficient, easily replicable portfolios that are properly risk-balanced for growth with less downside risk. His work has been featured on Seeking Alpha and other platforms through 2,000+ articles, and it has been cited by the New York Times, CNN, Reuters, USA Today, and others.- - -Daniel is the founder and portfolio manager at DM Martins Capital Management LLC, a macro strategy hedge fund (leveraged risk-parity approach that uses return stacking to achieve aggressive long-term capital appreciation). He is a former equity research professional at FBR Capital Markets and Telsey Advisory in New York City and finance analyst at macro hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, where he developed most of his investment management skills earlier in his career. Daniel is also an equity research and global equities market instructor for Wall Street Prep, where he has developed content and trained hundreds of senior and junior analysts at some of the largest bulge bracket investment banks and sovereign investment funds in the world.He holds an MBA in Financial Instruments and Markets from New York University's Stern School of Business.- - -On Seeking Alpha, DM Martins Research has partnered with EPB Macro Research and collaborated with Risk Research, Inc.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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