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A Rare Valuation Gap Has Opened On QQQM, According To My Calculations

Seeking Alpha
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF has dropped over 10%, creating a rare valuation gap while sector earnings expectations remain unchanged, presenting a potential buying opportunity. Current trading levels align with the ETF’s 10-year average valuation, with investor fears—primarily an "AI bubble" and escalating Iran tensions—driving the recent compression. Technical indicators like RSI suggest accumulation zones may be forming, signaling potential upside for investors willing to enter at depressed levels. Key risks stem from prolonged inflation due to geopolitical instability, though margin and cost pressures appear contained, limiting downside exposure. A 20% earnings contraction could push forward P/E ratios above 25-30x, triggering repricing, but analysts see a buffer at current valuations.
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Financial Serenity1.46K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(8min)CommentsSummaryInvesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) presents an attractive valuation gap after a >10% decline, with sector earnings expectations intact.QQQM now trades near its 10-year average valuation; The fears that have compressed valuations are the “AI bubble” and the “Iran conflict”.At similar levels measured by the RSI indicator, potential accumulation zones have emerged (IMO).Risks stem from potential revenue impacts if inflation remains elevated due to geopolitical events, not from margin or cost pressures.I still see a buffer at these levels.; a sharp EPS contraction (-20%) would push forward P/E above 25-30x and trigger repricing. Khanchit Khirisutchalual/iStock via Getty Images The last time I talked about Invesco NASDAQ 100 ETF (QQQM) I was very positive, and I would be lying to you if I told you that despite the declines… even today… for me it still makes sense toThis article was written byFinancial Serenity1.46K FollowersFollowFinancial Serenity is a financial analysis and quantitative research column with a particular focus on the asset management sector. It is actively managed by Tommaso Scarpellini, a seasoned financial researcher and data analyst with proven experience in banking and financial analytics platforms. This initiative aims to provide an in-depth analysis of the dynamics driving the asset management market.

On Seeking Alpha, we combine insights from rigorous data analysis with actionable opinions and ratings on ETFs and other trending instruments in the asset management space. Our mission is to deliver valuable, data-driven perspectives to help investors make informed decisions in this ever-evolving market.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. The author expresses only personal opinions and does not provide financial advice. The content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as investment recommendations. The author assumes no responsibility for any investment decisions made based on this article. Always conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment choices. The author makes no guarantees regarding the data, and the user agreSeeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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