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Prediction: XRP (Ripple) Will Hit This Price in 2026

newsfeedback@fool.com (Trevor Jennewine)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Standard Chartered’s Geoffrey Kendrick revised his 2026 XRP forecast from $8 to $2.80, citing macroeconomic pressures, though this still implies 107% upside from its current $1.35 price. XRP’s adoption as a bridge currency remains stagnant, with transaction volumes flat despite Ripple’s ODL platform, as businesses prefer stablecoins like USDT and USDC for cross-border payments. Ripple’s new RLUSD stablecoin fails to boost XRP demand, facing stiff competition from established alternatives, while XRP’s volatility undermines its utility in payments. Spot XRP ETFs, launched in late 2025, show weak institutional interest, with just $1 billion in AUM—1.2% of XRP’s market cap—compared to Bitcoin ETFs holding 6.4% of BTC’s value. Analyst Trevor Jennewine predicts XRP could drop to $1 by year-end, citing lack of catalysts, declining ETF inflows, and limited traction in its core use case.
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By Trevor Jennewine – Apr 16, 2026 at 4:48AM ESTKey PointsGeoffery Kendrick at Standard Chartered expects XRP to increase more than 100% to reach $2.80 in 2026.XRP is unlikley to gain traction as a bridge currency, and the RLUSD competes with more established stablecoins.Spot XRP ETFs have so far failed to move the needle, and data suggests limited adoption among institutional investors.Geoffrey Kendrick, head of digital asset research at Standard Chartered, recently lowered his 2026 forecast for XRP (XRP +4.69%). His previous prediction put the cryptocurrency at $8 by December, but he now estimates $2.80 due to macroeconomic headwinds. However, the new number still implies 107% upside from its current price of $1.35. I think Kendrick was right to trim his target, but I still believe he's too optimistic. XRP is has fallen 61% from its high, and I think its price will continue dropping throughout the year, potentially hitting $1 by December. Here's why. Image source: Getty Images. XRP is not gaining traction as a bridge currency XRP is the native digital asset on the XRP Ledger, a blockchain developed for faster and cheaper cross-border transactions than are possible with the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunications (SWIFT) messaging system. SWIFT is the dominant network for international wire transfers, but payments often incur high fees because they are usually routed through multiple banks, and each one charges processing fees. Additionally, SWIFT payments may take several days to settle. The XRP blockchain moves money in seconds and fees are negligible. Beyond those benefits, XRP has another thing working in its favor. Fintech company Ripple has an enterprise payment platform that utilizes XRP as a bridge currency. Specifically, Ripple Payments ODL (On-Demand Liquidity) converts fiat currency to XRP, moves it through the blockchain, then converts its back to fiat currency at its destination. Last year, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse predicted XRP would capture 14% market share from SWIFT by 2030, which implies the network will facilitate about $21 trillion in annual transaction volume within five years. If that happens, demand for XRP could drive its price much higher. But I doubt Garlinghouse is correct. XRP transaction volume has been relatively static over the past year, which suggests that businesses are not adopting XRP are as a bridge currency. I doubt that will change in the future. It simply does not make sense to move money with a cryptocurrency (whose price is subject to extreme fluctuations) when stablecoins are an option. Ripple has attempted addressed that problem by adding the stablecoin Ripple USD (RLUSD) to its payments ecosystem, but that has so far failed to move the needle for XRP (which is still required to pay transaction fees on the blockchain). I doubt that will change because RLUSD faces competition from more established options like USDT and USDC. ExpandCRYPTO: XRPXRPToday's Change(4.69%) $0.06Current Price$1.42Key Data PointsMarket Cap$87BDay's Range$1.35 - $1.4252wk Range$1.14 - $3.65Volume3.2B Spot XRP ETFs have not moved the needle Spot XRP ETFs are investment funds that track the price of XRP. They provide investors an easy onramp by eliminating the hassle and high fees associated with cryptocurrency exchanges. To date, the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has approved six spot ETFs that exclusively hold XRP. Those funds were supposed to be a major catalyst. But they have yet to move the needle since becoming available late last year. In fact, XRP has declined 42% in 2026 despite the availability of those funds. Daily net inflows to spot XRP ETFs have consistently trended downward, and assets under management (AUM) sits at $1 billion, representing about 1.2% of XRP's $81 billion market cap. Comparatively, Bitcoin has declined only 23% year to date, and AUM across spot Bitcoin ETFs sits around $95 billion, representing 6.4% of its $1.4 trillion market value. So what? Institutional investors are more likely to purchase regulated spot ETFs than unregulated cryptocurrency. So, the fact that spot XRP ETFs account for a relatively small percentage of XRP's market value suggests weak institutional interest, at least compared to Bitcoin. Here's the big picture: XRP has limited potential as a bridge currency when stablecoins are a less volatile option, and spot XRP ETFs have so far been inconsequential. That leaves XRP without any real catalysts for price appreciation, which is why I think its price will drop to $1 before the end of 2026.Read NextApr 14, 2026 •By Alex CarchidiGot $1,500? Here's Why I'd Pick XRP Over Cardano for the Next 10 YearsApr 13, 2026 •By Keith NoonanWhy XRP Is Gaining TodayApr 12, 2026 •By Alex Carchidi3 Parts of XRP's Thesis Aren't Working.

Should You Sell It?Apr 12, 2026 •By Will EbiefungWhere Will the Cryptocurrency XRP Be in 5 Years?Apr 11, 2026 •By Dominic BasultoWhere Will XRP Be in 5 Years?Apr 11, 2026 •By Dominic BasultoThe Regulatory Case for XRP: Why Its Legal Status Changes EverythingAbout the AuthorTrevor Jennewine is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering technology, cryptocurrency, and investment planning. Prior to The Motley Fool, Trevor managed several pharmacies. He holds a doctor of pharmacy degree from Oregon State University, a master’s degree in business administration from Miami University, and a bachelor’s degree in biology from Miami University.TMFphoenix12X@tjennewine1Stocks MentionedXRPCRYPTO: XRP$1.42(+4.69%)+$0.06BitcoinCRYPTO: BTC$74,826.00(+1.12%)+$826.18USDCCRYPTO: USDC$1.00(+0.00%)+$0.00TetherCRYPTO: USDT$1.00(-0.01%)-$0.00Standard Chartered PlcOTC: SCBFY$48.75(+1.14%)+$0.55Ripple USDCRYPTO: RLUSD$1.00(-0.01%)-$0.00*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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