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Forget GDP. Meet GDI: The new economic scorecard for AI power

Alistair Barr
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A new economic metric, Gross Domestic Intelligence (GDI), is emerging to measure national AI power by tracking compute infrastructure like GPUs, data centers, and networking gear, replacing traditional GDP assessments. Morgan Stanley analysts predict investors will use GDI to evaluate national competitiveness, with the U.S. leading at 75% of global AI compute capacity, followed by China (10%), the EU, Norway, and Japan. Epoch AI’s 2025 data shows Google dominates AI compute with its TPUs and Nvidia GPUs, while all top firms are U.S.-based, leaving China’s capacity comparable to Oracle’s. GDI rankings rely on AI chip performance, measured in Nvidia H100 GPU equivalents, highlighting peak operational capacity as the key benchmark for economic influence. The shift reflects AI’s growing role in shaping economic power, with compute infrastructure becoming a critical factor in national and corporate competitiveness.
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Forget GDP. Meet GDI: The new economic scorecard for AI power

Attendees during a media event at the Google Midlothian Data Center in Midlothian, Texas. Bloomberg/Getty Images 2026-04-10T22:34:23.511Z Share Copy link Email Facebook WhatsApp X LinkedIn Bluesky Threads lighning bolt icon An icon in the shape of a lightning bolt.

Impact Link Save Saved Read in app This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Become an Insider and start reading now. Have an account? Log in. A version of this story originally appeared in the BI Tech Memo newsletter. Sign up for the weekly BI Tech Memo newsletter here. AI-generated summary Summaries are generated by an AI model trained on Business Insider's articles. AI may make mistakes or provide inaccurate/incomplete information. We're unable to load that answer right now. Please try again. What is Gross Domestic Intelligence? Why is AI infrastructure crucial for nations? How do TPUs differ from GPUs in AI usage? How does AI compute capacity affect economies? What factors contribute to GDI ranking? There's an emerging new way to measure economies in the AI era: Gross Domestic Intelligence, or GDI. Loading audio narration... "We believe investors may begin to assess 'Gross Domestic Intelligence' resources at the national level, and this may well become an important investment overlay when assessing the competitiveness of entire nations and industries." Morgan Stanley analysts wrote in a note to investors recently.GDI measures who has the most AI resources, especially access to AI compute infrastructure including GPUs, networking gear, and data centers. Epoch AI, a research group that tracks AI and its impact, took a stab at this last year by estimating the share of AI computational power globally. The US dominated, with roughly 75%. China was second with about 10%, followed by the EU, then Norway and Japan.This group, backed by Dustin Moskovitz's Coefficient Giving charity, came out with similar estimates this week. The new data, from Q4 2025, measures the AI compute capacity of various companies and countries. It's based on AI chips that include, and are equivalent to, Nvidia's H100 GPUs. Compute capacity is how many operations each AI chip can perform at its peak. Google dominates in a mind-blowing way, with its own TPUs and a lot of Nvidia GPUs. Every top company is American. China only has as much AI compute as Oracle, according to Epoch AI estimates. A ranking of AI computing power Epoch AI Sign up for BI's Tech Memo newsletter here. Reach out to me via email at abarr@businessinsider.com.

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