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Amazon: This Is Worse Than You Think

Seeking Alpha
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2 min read
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Amazon faces a "Sell" rating due to its $200B capital expenditure plan, raising concerns over unsustainable spending and negative free cash flow projections. Q4 earnings revealed a revenue beat but missed EPS expectations, with weak Q1 guidance deepening investor skepticism about financial stability. AWS growth trails Microsoft and Google, signaling competitive erosion in cloud services amid broader macroeconomic pressures like inflation and rising oil prices. Retail performance risks worsening as consumer spending strains under economic headwinds, further threatening Amazon’s core revenue streams. Analysts peg intrinsic value at $137.94—30.8% below current share prices—suggesting significant downside risk amid mounting debt and operational challenges.
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Bears of Wall Street9.56K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(11min)Comments(4)SummaryAmazon is rated Sell due to aggressive $200B CapEx plans, negative free cash flow projections, and rising debt burden.Q4 revenue beat was overshadowed by the EPS miss, weak Q1 guidance, and concerns about unsustainable capital spending.AMZN’s AWS growth lags Microsoft and Google, while macro headwinds—oil prices, inflation, and consumer strain—threaten retail performance.Intrinsic value is estimated at $137.94 per share, 30.8% below the current price, suggesting further downside risk. Yuriy T/iStock Editorial via Getty Images Amazon.com, Inc.'s (AMZN) stock has depreciated by over 10% since we last covered the company last summer and argued that it’s time to sell the shares. Although Amazon reported aThis article was written byBears of Wall Street9.56K FollowersFollowBears of Wall Street is a community of asset managers and traders who take a pragmatic approach to valuing companies. Bears of Wall Street provide unique research with a bearish sentiment on overvalued or weak companies with declining businesses and poor growth perspectives - companies whose likely depreciation can be capitalized on.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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