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Quantum Computing Stocks: Separating Hype From Reality in 2026

The Motley Fool
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Pure-play quantum computing stocks like D-Wave, Rigetti, and IonQ have surged over 1,000% in three years as investors chase the next tech revolution, though revenue growth remains limited by early-stage development. Quantum computers leverage subatomic qubits for exponential scaling but face critical hurdles, including error correction and fragility, delaying widespread practical use despite cloud-based access via major providers. Tech giants like Microsoft and Alphabet are developing quantum chips, but industry leaders—including Nvidia’s Jensen Huang—predict full commercial viability may take 5–20 years, signaling long-term investment horizons. Market hype outpaces reality, with stocks rallying on speculative potential rather than near-term profits, as breakthroughs remain incremental and adoption in daily applications is years away. Experts advise cautious optimism: quantum computing could redefine industries, but investors must prepare for volatility and multi-year holding periods to capitalize on eventual transformative rewards.
Quantum Computing Stocks: Separating Hype From Reality in 2026

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By Adria Cimino – Jan 21, 2026 at 6:15PM ESTKey PointsCertain quantum computing stocks have soared in the quadruple digits over the past three years.Investors are betting that quantum computing will be the next major area of growth.CEO says this is worth 18 Nvidias. Will this make the world's first trillionaire? ›NASDAQ: NVDANvidiaMarket Cap$4.3TToday's Changeangle-down(2.98%) $5.31Current Price$183.38Price as of January 21, 2026 at 3:58 PM ETThere's reason to be optimistic about this exciting technology.The technology space has a long history of game-changing innovations: from the world's first computers to the internet and smartphones. And over the past few years, another area of great potential has emerged. I'm talking about quantum computing. Shares of pure play quantum companies such as D-Wave Quantum, Rigetti Computing, and IonQ have soared in the quadruple digits over the past three years as investors scrambled to get in on possible winners. But it's important to note that this technology is complicated, so companies in the space aren't likely to see revenue reach incredibly high levels right away. So, should you invest in quantum computing stocks in 2026? Yes -- if you separate hype from reality. Let's do just that. Image source: Getty Images. Building quantum systems First, a quick note on quantum computing. The technology relies on the behavior of subatomic particles for calculations, and these particles can scale up exponentially -- allowing them to handle problems that aren't possible for today's classical computers, even the most powerful supercomputer. The problem is that building quantum systems is complex, the particles -- known as qubits -- are fragile, and challenges are many. One key challenge is error generation, a problem that must be solved in order for quantum computers to be generally useful. Today, pure play companies such as those I mentioned above offer access to their quantum hardware through cloud service providers and are generating revenue. And even certain tech giants like Microsoft and Alphabet (GOOG +1.97%) (GOOGL +2.01%) are developing their own quantum chips. But it may take years for quantum computers to become generally useful.

Advertisement Jensen Huang comments on quantum Last year, Nvidia (NVDA +2.98%) chief Jensen Huang suggested it may take 20 years for that to happen, then a few months later, he became more bullish on the pace of development. Alphabet chief Sundar Pichai said we may be five to 10 years away, according to a Bloomberg report about a year ago. ExpandNASDAQ: GOOGLAlphabetToday's Change(2.01%) $6.46Current Price$328.46Key Data PointsMarket Cap$3.9TDay's Range$319.37 - $332.4452wk Range$140.53 - $340.49Volume1.1MAvg Vol37MGross Margin59.18%Dividend Yield0.26% Meanwhile, as mentioned earlier, quantum computing stocks have skyrocketed over the past few years as investors aimed to bet on the next big thing in technology. So, what should we expect moving forward? Quantum computing may be a game changer in the years to come, and it isn't too early to invest in potential winners. Now is a great time to buy these stocks -- but be prepared to hold on for a number of years. While it's likely that quantum companies will report breakthroughs and milestones reached this year and over the next few years, it will take time for these platforms to become a part of our daily lives. This means investors may have to be patient, but rewards over the long run could be huge.Read NextJan 21, 2026 •By Keithen Drury3 of My Top 4 AI Stock Picks for 2025 Rose At Least 38%.

Are They Still Best Buys for 2026?Jan 21, 2026 •By Leo SunBetter AI Chip Stock: Nvidia vs. Navitas SemiconductorJan 21, 2026 •By Adria CiminoPrediction: Nvidia Will Soar in 2026 Thanks to This 1 ThingJan 21, 2026 •By John Ballard2 No-Brainer AI Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist for 2026Jan 21, 2026 •By Sean Williams3 of the Hottest Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks Can Skyrocket Up to 109% in 2026, According to Select Wall Street AnalystsJan 20, 2026 •By Keithen DruryI Predicted Nvidia Would Be a $5 Trillion Company in 2025. Here's Why I Was Right (and Wrong).About the AuthorAdria Cimino is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering healthcare, technology, and consumer goods sectors. Prior to The Motley Fool, Adria covered the European stock market and U.S. stocks pre-market trading for Bloomberg News, Bloomberg TV, and Bloomberg Radio for more than a decade. Earlier in her career, she wrote about biotech, medtech, and technology companies in Boston for Mass High Tech, an American City Business Journals publication. She holds a bachelor’s degree in mass communications from the University of South Florida.TMFAdriaCiminoX@adria_in_parisStocks MentionedNvidiaNASDAQ: NVDA$183.38 (+0.03%) $+5.31AlphabetNASDAQ: GOOGL$328.46 (+0.02%) $+6.46MicrosoftNASDAQ: MSFT$444.01 (0.02%) $10.51AlphabetNASDAQ: GOOG$328.38 (+0.02%) $+6.22IonQNYSE: IONQ$48.33 (0.05%) $2.33Rigetti ComputingNASDAQ: RGTI$23.67 (0.05%) $1.32D-Wave QuantumNYSE: QBTS$26.04 (0.04%) $1.00*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.Advertisement

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