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Singapore May Tighten Monetary Policy as Oil Shock Lifts Prices

Swati Pandey
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Singapore’s central bank is expected to tighten monetary policy on April 14, responding to rising inflation pressures driven by surging oil prices amid the Iran conflict. The move would make it one of Asia’s first central banks to adjust policy following the Middle East crisis, as import costs escalate and inflation risks exceeding projections. A Bloomberg survey shows 15 of 18 economists anticipate a policy tightening, with only three forecasting no change, signaling strong consensus on the need for action. Key risks cited include further Middle East escalation and a potential global recession, both threatening economic stability and inflation control efforts. The decision reflects broader regional concerns, as Singapore’s trade-dependent economy faces heightened vulnerability to oil price shocks and geopolitical instability.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Singapore’s central bank is poised to tighten policy on Tuesday as the Iran war drives up import costs and threatens to push inflation beyond current projections, potentially becoming one of the first in Asia to adjust settings following the Middle East conflict.Fifteen out of 18 economists in a Bloomberg surveyBloomberg Terminal expect the Monetary Authority of Singapore to tighten policy at its April 14 review. Three forecast no change. An escalation in the Middle East and the possibility of a global recession were cited as the biggest tail risks in the survey conducted between March 27 and April 9.

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