Will Costco Treat Investors to Another Special Dividend in 2026?

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By William Dahl – Feb 10, 2026 at 2:00PM ESTKey PointsCostco last paid a special dividend in January 2023.The company has had a strong few years since, and typically pays special dividends every few years or so.Special dividend announcements can cause share prices to rise on the news.We’re bullish on these 10 stocks ›NASDAQ: COSTCostco WholesaleMarket Cap$443BToday's Changeangle-down(-2.35%) $23.42Current Price$974.17Price as of February 10, 2026 at 3:43 PM ETThese payouts are often 1,300% bigger than regular dividends.Costco Wholesale (COST 2.35%) is serious about rewarding shareholders. Since 2004, the retail giant has raised its dividend by 1,200%, easily outstripping the 75% inflation in that period. It's also spent $12.5 billion in share buybacks since 2000, including $903 million in share repurchases over the last fiscal year. Share buybacks are shareholder-friendly because they boost earnings per share by lowering the share count, helping to push stock prices higher. The company typically announces dividend increases in the spring, so its 22nd payout hike is likely just weeks away. But Costco might have a much bigger treat in store for shareholders. Image source: Getty Images. Costco could pay a hefty special dividend this year Since 2013, Costco has paid five special dividends. These payouts are unpredictable, but have two things in common. First, they're huge. In January 2024, Costco paid out a special dividend of $15 per share, which was 1,370% larger than the regular dividend that shareholders also received a month later. To give this payout more context, Costco shares closed at $607.92 the day before this special dividend was announced. For shareholders who happened to buy just before the announcement, the special one-time dividend amounted to a one-time yield of 2.4%, or more than double what the average S&P 500 company pays out in two years. ExpandNASDAQ: COSTCostco WholesaleToday's Change(-2.35%) $-23.42Current Price$974.17Key Data PointsMarket Cap$443BDay's Range$974.00 - $996.9852wk Range$844.06 - $1078.23Volume46KAvg Vol2.7MGross Margin12.88%Dividend Yield0.52% Costco's other special dividends have also been immense. In 2020, its special dividend was 1,328% greater than the regular quarterly dividend, while 2017's special dividend was 1,300% greater than the regular quarterly dividend that year. In 2015, the special dividend was 1,308% greater than the quarterly payouts that year. As you can see, management likes to make these payouts at least 14 times greater than the quarterly dividend. And consider how shares can rally when these juicy payouts are announced. In the five trading sessions after the 2023 special dividend was announced, shares rallied 8% as investors made sure they were in line for the imminent payout. Secondly, special dividends are announced when times are good. That's intuitive, since management would want to preserve resources when the company's facing headwinds. In the month before its 2020 special dividend, for instance, Costco -- which reports results monthly, not just quarterly -- reported net sales growth of 17% year over year. In the quarter before its 2023 special dividend, management announced net sales growth of 15.2% year over year. In its most recent earnings report for the fiscal first quarter of 2026 (ended Nov. 23, 2025), net income grew 13.6% year over year, while income from its membership programs grew 7.3% year over year, excluding the impact from a membership fee hike and foreign exchange rates. Costco now has 81.4 million paying members, and 145.9 million cardholders, totals that are up 5.2% and 5.1% over the last year, respectively. Why Costco could issue a special dividend in 2026 Costco has bought back millions of shares since its January 2023 special dividend, repurchasing nearly 2 million shares in 2024 and 2025. In the 2023 fiscal year, it repurchased hundreds of millions of shares. Share repurchases make dividends easier to issue, since that's 2 million fewer shares to pay dividends on. Secondly, the company's payout ratio, or the percentage of net income spent on its regular dividend, is down sharply from the time of its 2020 special dividend, and in line with its levels when the January 2023 special dividend went out. A lower payout ratio gives management much more breathing room to mail out more cash. Data by YCharts. Finally, the company's net cash flow from operations has surged to $14.76 billion. That's around triple its level at the time of 2020's special dividend, and more than double what it was in January 2023. That's important because this is the money management can dip into for buybacks, acquisitions, or dividends without going into debt. Given all this, I believe another special dividend this year would be a layup for management, though time will tell. But given the value that Costco showers on shareholders each year, special dividend or not, I would rather be years early for a special dividend than one day too late.Read NextFeb 9, 2026 •By David Jagielski, CPAShould You Buy Costco Stock Before March 5?Feb 8, 2026 •By Will HealyCostco Stock Is Up 15% This Year. Time to Buy?Feb 5, 2026 •By Neil PatelIs Costco a Buy, Sell, or Hold in 2026?Feb 1, 2026 •By Reuben Gregg BrewerBest Consumer Stock to Buy Right Now: Costco or Walmart?Jan 31, 2026 •By Jennifer SaibilCostco Stock Is Soaring.
Is It Too Late to Buy?Jan 31, 2026 •By Neil PatelIf You'd Invested $100 in Costco 10 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have TodayStocks MentionedCostco WholesaleNASDAQ: COST$974.17 (2.35%) $23.42*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.
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