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Why the Bank of Canada is likely to stand pat amid an oil crisis

Larysa Harapyn
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⚡ Quantum Brief
BMO’s chief economist Douglas Porter warns the Middle East energy crisis will disrupt Canada’s economy by driving oil prices higher, creating a dual threat of slower growth and rising inflation. The Bank of Canada is expected to hold interest rates steady despite inflationary pressures, as rate hikes could further stifle economic expansion amid oil-driven cost increases. High oil prices act as a tax on consumers, reducing disposable income and dampening spending, which may push Canada toward stagnation or mild recession in 2026. Global supply chain disruptions from the crisis could exacerbate domestic inflation, complicating the central bank’s efforts to balance price stability with economic growth. Porter’s analysis suggests policymakers will prioritize stability over aggressive intervention, betting on temporary oil shocks rather than structural economic shifts.
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Douglas Porter: High oil prices to slow growth, add inflationary pressureYou can save this article by registering for free here. Or sign-in if you have an account.Douglas Porter, chief economist at BMO Financial Group, talks to Financial Post’s Larysa Harapyn about how the energy crisis unfolding in the Middle East could impact Canada’s economy.Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion. Please keep comments relevant and respectful. Comments may take up to an hour to appear on the site. You will receive an email if there is a reply to your comment, an update to a thread you follow or if a user you follow comments. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information.365 Bloor Street East, Toronto, Ontario, M4W 3L4© 2026 Financial Post, a division of Postmedia Network Inc. All rights reserved. Unauthorized distribution, transmission or republication strictly prohibited.This website uses cookies to personalize your content (including ads), and allows us to analyze our traffic. Read more about cookies here. By continuing to use our site, you agree to our Terms of Use and Privacy Policy.You can manage saved articles in your account.and save up to 100 articles!You can manage your saved articles in your account and clicking the X located at the bottom right of the article.

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Source: Financial Post

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