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Wholesale prices rose 0.5% in March, much less than expected despite war impact

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⚡ Quantum Brief
March producer prices rose just 0.5%, far below the expected 1.1% increase, despite geopolitical tensions from the Iran war driving energy costs higher. The Bureau of Labor Statistics report defied forecasts. Core producer prices, excluding food and energy, climbed only 0.1%—well under the 0.5% projection—signaling weaker underlying inflation pressures than anticipated. Annual PPI surged 4%, the highest since February 2023, while core PPI rose 3.8%. Excluding trade services, prices increased 3.6% yearly, reflecting persistent but moderating inflation trends. Consumer prices outpaced producer costs, rising 0.9% in March, though core consumer inflation remained subdued at 0.2%, suggesting limited pass-through of producer-level pressures. Energy led the PPI gains, reinforcing concerns about war-driven volatility, but the overall softer-than-expected data eased fears of a renewed inflation spike.
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Producer prices rose in March but considerably less than expected as the Iran war's push on energy prices rekindled fears of another inflation burst.The producer price index, a gauge of pipeline costs for final demand goods and services, increased a seasonally adjusted 0.5% for the month, well below the Dow Jones consensus estimate for 1.1%, according to a Bureau of Labor Statistics report Tuesday.Excluding food and energy, core PPI was up just 0.1% against the forecast for 0.5%.On an annual basis, the all-items PPI accelerated 4%, the biggest 12-month gain since February 2023. Core PPI posted a 3.8% annual gain. Excluding food, energy and trade services, PPI increased 0.2% monthly and 3.6% annually.The increase on the producer end of prices was less than the 0.9% gain in prices consumers actually paid for the month. Core consumer prices also were soft, rising just 0.2%.As expected, energy was the primary culprit in the index gain. This is breaking news. Please refresh for updates.Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you.Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inboxGet this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services.© 2026 Versant Media, LLC.

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