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Warren Buffett Bought 8 Million Shares of This Energy Stock in 2025's Q4: Here's Why 2026 Could Bring Huge Profits

newsfeedback@fool.com (Ryan Vanzo)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Berkshire Hathaway increased its Chevron stake by 8 million shares in Q4 2025, raising its portfolio allocation to 7.24%, marking one of Buffett’s largest energy bets in the firm’s history. Chevron hit record oil and gas production in 2025, returning $26 billion to shareholders via dividends and buybacks—an 18% year-over-year increase despite a 1.5% stock gain due to low oil prices. Oil prices fell 20% in 2025, suppressing Chevron’s revenue, but its break-even cost remains ~$50/barrel, meaning even modest price rebounds could double per-barrel profits. Geopolitical tensions, including Middle East conflicts, are pushing oil prices higher in early 2026, potentially unlocking Chevron’s profit upside as crude nears $70/barrel. Buffett’s successor-led Berkshire is betting on Chevron’s resilient business model, high dividend yield (3.71%), and leverage to rising energy prices amid regulatory shifts favoring fossil fuels.
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By Ryan Vanzo – Mar 4, 2026 at 5:24PM ESTKey PointsBerkshire Hathaway is betting big on one global energy stock.This oil stock delivers several advantages in today's market.Warren Buffett is no longer the CEO of Berkshire Hathaway (BRKA +1.34%)(BRKB +1.22%). That makes Berkshire's last reporting period -- which reflects the company's full-year results from 2025 -- our last chance to see directly which stocks Buffett gave the green light to buy, and which stocks he approved for sale. Last quarter, Berkshire's portfolio didn't change much. But there were some massive stock sales, as well as a few notable buys. In fact, one energy stock saw a sizable increase in weighting. Previously, Berkshire owned around 122 million shares of this global oil producer. But after an 8 million share purchase last quarter, this company now comprises 7.24% of Berkshire's entire portfolio. If you take a closer look, it's no surprise why Buffett is so bullish on this well-known stock that has been in Berkshire's portfolio since 2020. Image source: Getty Images. Chevron stock offers compelling diversification benefits The oil stock that Berkshire Hathaway added to last quarter is none other than Chevron (CVX 1.42%), one of the largest energy companies in the world. Buffett isn't new to energy investing. He has purchased stocks of other oil companies in the past with mixed success. But his bet on Chevron is one of the largest in Berkshire's history. And it's not hard to speculate why. ExpandNYSE: BRKBBerkshire HathawayToday's Change(1.22%) $5.87Current Price$487.23Key Data PointsMarket Cap$1.1TDay's Range$480.00 - $489.1552wk Range$455.19 - $542.07Volume225KAvg Vol4.8MGross Margin23.63% Last year, Chevron achieved record levels of oil and gas production. This record production allowed the company to return $26 billion to shareholders in the form of dividends and share buybacks -- an 18% increase over the year prior. But here's the thing: Chevron stock rose just 1.5% in 2025. And while the 3.8% dividend yield added to that total return, the stock's performance simply didn't match record production levels. Why? The simplest answer is low oil prices. Competitor ExxonMobil also achieved record production with minimal shareholder returns last year. That's because revenue and profits for both companies suffered under the weight of low selling prices. Crude oil prices fell by roughly 20% last year. And in comparison, a 1.5% return on the stock price appears rather impressive. While Chevron shares have spiked so far in 2026, they remain well below their previous highs. That's largely due to oil prices remaining under $70 per barrel (although they have risen in the past week due to the Iran-related conflict in the Middle East). As recently as 2022, oil prices were above $100 per barrel. And the way energy economics works, even small increases in selling prices can produce outsize profits. ExpandNYSE: CVXChevronToday's Change(-1.42%) $-2.68Current Price$186.09Key Data PointsMarket Cap$371BDay's Range$184.20 - $188.4552wk Range$132.04 - $191.56Volume547KAvg Vol11MGross Margin14.66%Dividend Yield3.71% While there are many assumptions involved, Chevron currently estimates its break-even production price to be around $50 per barrel. At $70-per-barrel crude prices, the company makes a profit of $20 per barrel. But at $90-per-barrel pricing -- an increase of just 29% -- Chevron's profits per barrel double. In short, Chevron's underlying business model appears to be running very strongly. It's just that oil prices -- something the company can't control on its own -- are masking many of the production and efficiency gains. While it's anyone's guess what will happen from here, rising geopolitical tensions could send oil prices even higher in the near future. The upside of Chevron shares is obvious in a rising price environment. Buffett and his replacements seem to be bullish on the odds of that scenario coming to fruition.Read NextFeb 27, 2026 •By Daniel FoelberIs Chevron Stock Going to $200?Feb 24, 2026 •By Matt DiLalloChevron Is Negotiating for a Stake in a Massive Oilfield in Iraq. 2 Key Takeaways for Investors.Feb 24, 2026 •By Matt DiLallo3 High-Yield Energy Stocks to Buy Now and Hold ForeverFeb 23, 2026 •By Reuben Gregg Brewer3 High-Yield Energy Stocks to Buy in FebruaryFeb 22, 2026 •By Reuben Gregg BrewerA Friendlier Regulatory Environment May Be on the Horizon for These 2 Energy Stocks as the Trump Administration Rolls Back Greenhouse Gas RegulationFeb 21, 2026 •By Courtney CarlsenIs Chevron the Smartest Dividend Investment You Can Make in 2026?About the AuthorRyan Vanzo is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst, covering a range of stocks and market sectors. Ryan previously worked for multiple mutual funds conducting fundamental research. He holds a degree in finance and accounting from Bentley University and has had a strong interest in financial markets since childhood.TMFRyanVanzoStocks MentionedChevronNYSE: CVX$186.03(-1.45%)-$2.74Berkshire HathawayNYSE: BRKA$730,707.01(+1.34%)+$9,662.12Berkshire HathawayNYSE: BRKB$487.23(+1.22%)+$5.87*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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