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Wall Street Week Ahead

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⚡ Quantum Brief
OPEC+ will meet Sunday to decide oil output policy as Strait of Hormuz closures and Iran war tensions drive prices higher, with markets bracing for either escalation or de-escalation impacts. Core PCE index (Thursday) and March CPI (Friday) reports will dominate Fed policy expectations, with economists forecasting core CPI holding at 2.5% annually, shaping rate-cut timelines. The HumanX AI Conference in San Francisco features Nvidia, Microsoft, Amazon, and Alphabet, sustaining AI sector momentum amid tech earnings scrutiny and valuation shifts. Analyst James Kostohryz warns of a 30-50% S&P 500 crash in prolonged Iran-Israel conflict scenarios, urging defensive positions in cash, non-ME energy stocks, and Brent crude while avoiding bonds and gold. Delta, Constellation Brands, Levi Strauss, and BlackBerry earnings this week will reveal consumer demand, travel trends, and enterprise spending amid macroeconomic volatility.
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Wall Street Breakfast5.74M FollowersSubscribe5ShareSavePlay(5min)Comments Listen on the go! A daily podcast of Wall Street Breakfast will be available by 8:00 a.m. on Seeking Alpha, iTunes, Spotify. Campwillowlake/iStock via Getty Images Wall Street heads into the new week with investors focused on inflation data and energy. Oil will be an early driver, with OPEC+ meeting Sunday to decide on output policy amid the surge in prices with the closure of the Strait of Hormuz and whipsawing expectations for either escalation or de-escalation in the Iran war. The macro spotlight will fall on inflation reports, with the core PCE index due Thursday and the March Consumer Price Index on Friday. Economists expect core CPI to hold at 2.5% annually, making the data critical for shaping expectations around Federal Reserve policy. Fed minutes on Wednesday and remarks from policymakers, including Austan Goolsbee, will also be closely watched. Earnings are led by Delta Air Lines (DAL), Constellation Brands (STZ), Levi Strauss (LEVI), and BlackBerry (BB), offering insight into travel demand, consumer trends, and enterprise spending. In tech, the HumanX AI Conference in San Francisco will feature companies including Nvidia (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Alphabet (GOOGL), keeping AI momentum in focus. Earnings spotlight: Tuesday, April 7: Levi Strauss (LEVI). See the full earnings calendar. Earnings spotlight: Wednesday, April 8: Constellation Brands (STZ), Delta Air Lines (DAL), Applied Digital (APLD). See the full earnings calendar. Earnings spotlight: Thursday, April 9: BlackBerry (BB). See the full earnings calendar. In case you missed it Nvidia valuation falls to S&P 500 parity for first time in a decadeTop 10 large-cap energy stocks by forward dividend yieldMost crowded stocks in long-only funds by sectorGoogle introduces new pricing tiers for GeminiWhat's next for Micron?Michael Burry pushes back on housing shortage narrative Investing Group Spotlight Earlier this month, James A. Kostohryz, leader of the Investing Group Successful Portfolio Strategy, sat down for a critical conversation with Seeking Alpha’s Rena Sherbill to discuss the escalating conflict between Iran and Israel. James brings decades of experience in global macro analysis and has been remarkably prescient regarding the protracted nature of this war and the subsequent closure of the Strait of Hormuz.This is a deep dive into a portfolio strategy system designed to empower investors to achieve superior performance through tactical asset allocation and mentorship. View the full podcast replay here. Here’s a summary:War Scenarios and Timelines: James argues that the conflict is driven by non-negotiable security goals: eliminating Iran’s nuclear capabilities and long-range missile stockpiles. He envisions two primary timelines:• A "Moderately Bearish" Scenario: Lasting another 6–8 weeks, potentially leading to a 30% S&P 500 decline and oil prices hitting $150–$200.• A "Severe" Scenario: A protracted, multi-month conflict involving a multinational force to unblock the Strait of Hormuz. This could result in a 50% market crash and $300 oil.Investment Strategy: James recommends an aggressive defensive posture, favoring cash (money market funds) over long-term bonds:• Energy: He is "aggressively positioned" in non-Middle Eastern international Exploration and Production (E&P) stocks and Brent crude (BNO).• Bonds and Gold: He warns against corporate bonds and views gold as currently overvalued. However, he suggests watching for Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, known as TIPS, if real yields hit 3%.• Sectors to Avoid: He is wary of industrial metals (copper, aluminum) and cyclical value stocks due to looming global recession risks.James's service empowers investors through a tactical portfolio system featuring two model portfolios, video analysis, and direct mentorship. For a limited time, new members can access a 14-day free trial, followed by a rate of $499.00/yr. Learn More >> What SA Analysts Are Watching Why It May Be Time To Load Up SoonBrace For Inflationary Shock: March CPI PreviewHow Stocks Might React After A Red-Hot March CPI ReportAmazon Vs. Starlink: The $9 Billion Globalstar Deal That Could Change EverythingDelta Air Lines Will Potentially Lead In This Year Of ChaosLooking Ahead To Applied Digital's Q3 Earnings: Is The $2.4B Power Build Worth It? This article was written byWall Street Breakfast5.74M FollowersSubscribeWall Street Breakfast, Seeking Alpha's flagship daily business newsletter, is a one-page summary that gives you a rapid overview of the day's key financial news. It is designed for easy readability on the site or by email (including mobile devices) and is published before 7:30 AM ET every market day.

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