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Wall Street Turns Gloomy on the Dollar as Haven Demand Fades

Carter Johnson, Anya Andrianova
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Major banks like Deutsche Bank and Wells Fargo now predict the dollar’s safe-haven rally—fueled by US-Iran tensions—has ended after a fragile April 2026 ceasefire eased geopolitical risks. Investors are shifting from the dollar to riskier assets, with hedging ratios hitting two-year highs, per State Street data, signaling growing bearish sentiment. Dollar confidence in options markets has plummeted, with positioning turning the least bullish in weeks as traders bet against further gains. Analysts argue the greenback’s strength was temporary, tied to conflict-driven demand, and now urge short positions as global risk appetite rebounds. The shift reflects broader market optimism, with the ceasefire reducing haven demand and accelerating the dollar’s decline against rival currencies.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Deutsche Bank AG and Wells Fargo & Co. are among banks declaring the dollar’s war-driven haven rally is likely over as the fragile ceasefire between the US and Iran prompts investors to seek riskier assets.The banks are arguing it’s time to embrace bets against the greenback, and global investors seem to be doing just that. They’ve boosted dollar hedging ratios to a two-year high, according to State Street Corp. In the options market, meanwhile, confidence in the dollar has faded, with positioning the least bullish in weeks.

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