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Wall Street Expected Micron to Stumble. Here's Why the Bears Could Be Dead Wrong.

newsfeedback@fool.com (Harsh Chauhan)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Micron shattered Q2 2026 expectations, reporting $23.9B revenue (3x YoY) and $12.20 EPS (8x YoY), defying Wall Street’s skepticism about sustained growth despite its 277% stock surge over the past year. DRAM and NAND prices surged 65-79% sequentially due to AI-driven demand for high-bandwidth memory (HBM), with CEO Sanjay Mehrotra forecasting tight supply through 2026, ensuring prolonged pricing power. Current-quarter guidance targets $33.5B revenue (3.6x YoY) and $19.15 EPS (10x YoY), far exceeding the $24.3B and $12.05 consensus, signaling analysts continue underestimating its AI-fueled momentum. Analysts’ $550 median price target (55% upside) may be conservative; fiscal 2027 EPS estimates ($98.26) suggest a potential $2,024 stock value—5.6x current levels—if trading aligns with the S&P 500’s forward multiple. Micron’s HBM4 mass production for Nvidia’s next-gen platforms cements its critical role in AI infrastructure, positioning it as a high-upside buy amid post-earnings volatility.
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By Harsh Chauhan – Mar 29, 2026 at 5:30PM ESTKey PointsAnalysts don't expect Micron to replicate its red-hot stock market performance going forward, but it could easily prove them wrong.The company's recent results clearly indicate that the period of favorable pricing is here to stay.The phenomenal earnings growth that Micron can deliver next year could send the stock to much higher levels.Micron Technology (MU +0.59%) obliterated analysts' expectations with its fiscal second-quarter 2026 earnings report (for the three months ended Feb. 26, 2026) on March 18, putting to rest any fears that the memory specialist has run out of room for growth. Wall Street had set high revenue and earnings targets for Micron, above its guidance of $8.42 per share in earnings on $18.70 billion in revenue. However, the strong memory demand and pricing environment helped Micron triple its revenue year over year to $23.9 billion. Its earnings growth was even more fantastic, with the bottom line jumping by almost 8 times year over year to $12.20 per share. Nonetheless, Micron stock retreated despite its solid report and terrific guidance, probably due to concerns that it has reached its peak. After all, the stock has jumped a stunning 277% over the past year, and Wall Street isn't expecting similar upside from here. However, don't be surprised if Micron proves the bears wrong and soars in the coming year. Image source: Micron Technology. Micron stock's red-hot rally is here to stay Micron's 12-month median price target of $550, according to 50 analysts covering the stock, suggests a 55% jump in the coming year. However, it can easily surpass that expectation and deliver much bigger gains. ExpandNASDAQ: MUMicron TechnologyToday's Change(0.59%) $2.10Current Price$357.56Key Data PointsMarket Cap$403BDay's Range$354.15 - $368.7152wk Range$61.54 - $471.34Volume1.9MAvg Vol38MGross Margin58.54%Dividend Yield0.13% That's because the favorable factors driving Micron's phenomenal growth are here to stay. CEO Sanjay Mehrotra remarked on the latest earnings call that he expects "supply and demand for both DRAM and NAND to remain tight beyond calendar 2026." The supply constraints caused by overwhelming demand from artificial intelligence (AI) data center chips, which need high-bandwidth memory (HBM) to quickly move huge data sets, will continue to push up memory prices. Micron noted on the call that the price of dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) increased by 65% to 67% sequentially last quarter. The price of storage-oriented NAND flash chips shot up by 75% to 79%. With memory supply set to remain tight, investors can expect Micron's top and bottom lines to continue surging. This explains why Micron's guidance is simply stunning. The company expects $33.5 billion in revenue in the current quarter at the midpoint of its guidance range. That would be a 3.6 times increase over the year-ago period. Even better, the guidance is miles ahead of the $24.3 billion consensus estimate. What's more, Micron's earnings guidance of $19.15 per share points toward a huge year-over-year increase of 10x. Wall Street would have settled for $12.05 per share in earnings. So, analysts seem to be underestimating Micron's growth potential, which is why it would be a good idea to buy this AI stock following its post-earnings slip. Here's how much upside you can expect in the coming year Micron's earnings expectations have moved significantly higher following its latest report. MU EPS Estimates for Current Fiscal Year data by YCharts. EPS = earnings per share. Analysts expect it to end fiscal 2026 (which ends in August) with $57.76 per share in earnings. The fiscal 2027 earnings estimate of $98.26 suggests that Micron's stock price could jump to $2,024 (assuming it trades in line with the S&P 500 index's forward earnings multiple of 20.6), a potential increase of 5.6x from current levels. So, Micron could easily prove analysts wrong and clock massive gains in the coming year, which makes it a no-brainer buy right now.Read NextMar 29, 2026 •By Manali Pradhan, CFAMicron Just Had Its Worst Week of 2026.

Is Earnings Season the Turning Point?Mar 29, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerMicron's HBM4 Is Now in Mass Production for Nvidia's Next-Gen Platform.

This Could Be a Defining Moment for the Stock.Mar 29, 2026 •By Adam LevyMicron vs Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing: Which AI Chipmaker Is the Better Buy Right Now?Mar 29, 2026 •By Neil RozenbaumMeta, Micron, Amazon, or Google.

Which Big Tech Stock Is The Best Buy Right Now?Mar 28, 2026 •By Keithen Drury3 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks to Buy at a DiscountMar 27, 2026 •By Parkev Tatevosian, CFAAlphabet Delivers Unfortunate News for Micron Stock InvestorsAbout the AuthorHarsh Chauhan is a contributing Motley Fool technology analyst covering semiconductors, consumer electronics, artificial intelligence, and software. Harsh previously worked as a journalist for CCN Markets covering crypto and macroeconomics, a contributor at Capital 10x covering metals, mining, and industrial stocks, and a research associate at Zacks Investment Research. He holds a bachelor’s degree in commerce from St. Xavier’s College in Kolkata, India.TMFTechJunk13X@techjunk13Stocks MentionedMicron TechnologyNASDAQ: MU$357.56(+0.59%)+$2.10*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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