Back to News
investment

Volatility Falls On Ceasefire Hopes, Yet Caution Remains

Seeking Alpha
Loading...
2 min read
0 likes
⚡ Quantum Brief
Market volatility dropped sharply last week as geopolitical tensions eased, with implied volatilities declining across asset classes amid growing optimism over a potential Iran ceasefire agreement. Interest rate volatility led the decline, with the VIXTLT Index plunging 31 points week-over-week to 85 bps after Fed Chair Powell signaled a "wait-and-see" approach on energy-driven inflation pressures. The VIX Index fell 7 points, driven partly by reduced SPX call skew and convexity, reflecting lower demand for upside hedging as market sentiment improved. The SPX volatility curve shifted from inverted to flat, with front-month contracts leading the decline, indicating shorter-term uncertainty eased more than longer-term expectations. Despite the pullback, analysts caution that lingering risks—including energy price fluctuations and geopolitical instability—could reignite volatility if ceasefire hopes fade.
AI Audio Summary
0:00 / 0:00
Click to play
Untitled design (15).png
Quantum News · Media Library

Cboe Global Markets667 FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(6min)CommentsSummaryInterest rate volatility declined the most, with the VIXTLT Index falling over 31 pts wk/wk to 85 bps vol as Powell signaled the Fed will take a “wait and see” approach to any energy-driven inflation increase.The decline in SPX call skew and call convexity contributed over 2 pts to the 7 pt decline in the VIX Index last week.The SPX vol curve flipped from inverted to flat last week, with the decline in volatility mostly driven by the front end. Torsten Asmus/iStock via Getty Images By Mandy Xu Cross-Asset Volatility: Implied volatilities fell across asset classes last week on optimism over an Iran ceasefire. Interest rate volatility declined the most, with the VIXTLT Index falling over 31 pts wk/wk to 85This article was written byCboe Global Markets667 FollowersFollowCboe Global Markets (CBOE), a leading provider of market infrastructure and tradable products, delivers cutting-edge trading, clearing and investment solutions to market participants around the world. The company is committed to operating a trusted, inclusive global marketplace, providing leading products, technology and data solutions that enable participants to define a sustainable financial future. Cboe provides trading solutions and products in multiple asset classes, including equities, derivatives and FX, across North America, Europe and Asia Pacific.

Read Original

Tags

energy-climate

Source Information

Source: Seeking Alpha

Discussion

0 professional contributions

Sign in to join this professional discussion.

Be the first to add a constructive contribution.