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1 Unstoppable Vanguard ETF That Could Crush the S&P 500 (Again) in 2026

newsfeedback@fool.com (David Dierking)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF (VYMI) surged 38% in 2025, outperforming the S&P 500’s 18% gain, as international stocks rebounded after years of underperformance. Valuation gaps drove momentum: VYMI trades at a P/E of 13.5—half the S&P 500’s—while offering a 3.3% dividend yield, triple the U.S. benchmark, providing both growth potential and downside protection. Earnings growth in international markets is accelerating, with EAFE economies projected to grow 9% in 2026 (up from 1% in 2025), matching or exceeding U.S. growth rates for the first time in years. The fund’s focus on cyclical, defensive, and value stocks aligns with 2026’s market shift, sustaining its 10% year-to-date gain and positioning it to extend its outperformance. Analysts cite attractive valuations, rising earnings, and dividend strength as key catalysts for VYMI to potentially crush the S&P 500 again in 2026.
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By David Dierking – Feb 16, 2026 at 4:45PM ESTKey PointsInternational stocks finally beat the S&P 500 by a meaningful margin in 2025.Accelerating earnings growth and attractive valuations look to be the catalysts that will power the rally in 2026.Dividend payers have a nice setup to be a leader within this group.These 10 Stocks Could Mint the Next Wave of Millionaires ›NASDAQ: VYMIVanguard International High Dividend Yield ETFToday's Changeangle-down(-0.08%) $0.08Current Price$99.47Price as of February 13, 2026 at 4:00 PM ETIn 2025, international stocks had some of their best performance relative to the S&P 500 in years. The momentum looks ready to carry forward into 2026.For more than a decade, international stocks consistently failed to keep up with the S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.05%). Low interest rates, stronger economic growth, and an affinity for U.S. stocks all helped drive the rally. 2025 marked a reversal of that trend. Investors began paying attention to valuations again. Expected growth rates in international economies were accelerating.

The Federal Reserve is unlikely to provide much rate cut assistance. Those factors helped to finally unlock some of the inherent value in this group. The 18% total return for the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (VOO +0.06%) in 2025 was unquestionably impressive. But it lagged the 32% total return of the iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF (IEFA +0.08%) by a wide margin (EAFE stands for Europe, Australasia, and the Far East). Image source: Getty Images.

The Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF (VYMI 0.08%) did even better. It returned 38% thanks to its deeper value profile and overweighting in some of the year's better-performing stocks and sectors. And the momentum hasn't stopped. Year to date through Feb. 11, it has gained another 10%, outpacing both the S&P 500 and EAFE indexes again. Given the way that the market has turned toward cyclical, defensive, and value stocks in 2026 (and the way that momentum has sustained), I think that it's looking like another good year for the Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF. ExpandNYSEMKT: VOOVanguard S&P 500 ETFToday's Change(0.06%) $0.40Current Price$626.89Key Data PointsDay's Range$623.12 - $631.1752wk Range$442.80 - $641.81Volume9.3M Value and yield provide meaningful advantages It's common for international stocks to trade at a lower price/earnings (P/E) multiple than the S&P 500. Dividend stocks are typically even cheaper than that, and this ETF is no exception.

The Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF has a P/E of 13.5, or roughly half that of the S&P 500. That valuation gap has the potential to provide a meaningful downside cushion should the global growth cycle begin to slow. ExpandNASDAQ: VYMIVanguard International High Dividend Yield ETFToday's Change(-0.08%) $-0.08Current Price$99.47Key Data PointsDay's Range$98.60 - $99.5852wk Range$65.08 - $100.55Volume1.9M The fund also has a dividend yield of 3.3%, roughly triple the yield currently being offered by the S&P 500. That could provide a material yield enhancement on top of the capital growth potential. International earnings growth is expected to accelerate One of the things that's been a drag on overseas stock performance lately has been a lack of earnings and revenue growth. In 2025, EAFE countries collectively grew their earnings by just over 1%. Emerging markets posted considerably better 10% growth, but rates across individual economies were scattered. That's likely to improve this year. EAFE is expected to deliver 9% earnings growth, and emerging markets are forecast to rise to 17%. That puts international earnings growth at least on par with the S&P 500. When growth rates are similar, the comparatively cheaper group tends to look more attractive. International dividend stocks look ready for another strong year Given the improvement in fundamentals and attractive valuations, the Vanguard International High Dividend Yield ETF could be poised to crush the S&P 500 yet again. Earnings growth acceleration alone should help fuel share price gains. But I wouldn't be surprised to see a momentum-driven P/E expansion provide additional returns. International stocks have lagged U.S. stocks for years. It looks like the trend is finally starting to reverse.Read NextFeb 6, 2026 •By David DierkingCan Vanguard's International High Dividend Yield ETF Outperform Again in 2026?Feb 3, 2026 •By Stefon WaltersThis Vanguard ETF Has Doubled the S&P 500's Returns Since the Start of 2025. Is It a Buy Now?Jan 31, 2026 •By Matt Frankel, CFPEven Near an All-Time High, This Dividend ETF Looks Extremely CheapDec 29, 2025 •By Todd ShriberWhy This High-Dividend ETF Is One I Would Hold ForeverDec 7, 2025 •By George Budwell, PhDCan the Vanguard International High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares Outperform Again in 2026?Nov 27, 2025 •By George Budwell, PhD3 Vanguard ETFs I'd Buy Right NowStocks MentionedVanguard International High Dividend Yield ETFNASDAQ: VYMI$99.47 (0.08%) $0.08*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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