The Uncomfortable Rerun: My COVID Supply Chain Playbook Closed In 2022 (Hormuz Just Reopened It)

Luca Socci6.76K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(13min)Comment(1)SummaryThe Hormuz closure is not an oil story—it is a four-act supply chain crisis, and the market has only priced Act One.COVID taught us that the best trades arrive in the lag: freight reprices first, then fertilizers, then food. That lag is opening right now.I am watching several sectors and twelve stocks, which I share in this article. Getty Images A Double Chokepoint By now, we all know that the Strait of Hormuz is the most important maritime chokepoint in the world. Also, we are all aware that, in the week before the war began, 38% of globalThis article was written byLuca Socci6.76K FollowersFollowI’m a long-term investor focused on U.S. and European equities, with a dual emphasis on undervalued growth stocks and high-quality dividend growers. Through years of experience, I’ve learned that sustained profitability—evident in strong margins, stable and expanding free cash flow, and high returns on invested capital—is a more reliable driver of returns than valuation alone. I manage one of my portfolios publicly on eToro, where I qualified as a Popular Investor, allowing others to copy my real-time investment decisions. My background spans Economics, Classical Philology, Philosophy and Theology. This interdisciplinary foundation sharpens both my quantitative analysis and my ability to interpret market narratives through a broader, long-term lens. I started investing when I became a father. By managing wisely what I received and earn, I aim to ensure for me and my children that we don't have so much that we don't have to do anything, but that we have enough assets to be free to do what we want. The goal is not to free myself from work, but to make sure I can work in the place and in a way where I can fully express myself.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of OKE, TS either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.