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Trump and Iran Strike Defiant Tone as Oil Markets See Little Relief

Bloomberg News
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US and Iran escalated tensions on the 13th day of war, with President Trump prioritizing nuclear containment over oil costs and Iran’s new supreme leader vowing to keep the Strait of Hormuz closed, disrupting 20% of global oil flow. Oil prices surged over 9%, hitting $100/barrel as the Strait’s blockade created the largest supply disruption in history, despite US releasing 400 million emergency barrels and easing Russian oil sanctions. Military clashes expanded, with Israel striking Iran, Iran targeting Dubai and Kuwait, and France reporting a soldier killed in Iraq. Over 2,500 deaths and 3.2 million displaced Iranians mark the war’s human toll. US and Israel have hit 6,000 Iranian targets, but Tehran threatens new fronts. Russia is aiding Iran with intelligence, while backchannel talks to reopen the Strait have stalled, prolonging the crisis. Gasoline prices hit $3.60/gallon in the US as the conflict disrupts trade, flights, and energy markets, with no clear de-escalation path despite $11.3 billion in initial US military spending.
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President Donald Trump and Iran’s new supreme leader both struck defiant tones on the 13th day of the war, offering little relief to energy markets despite fresh US efforts to curb oil prices.Author of the article:You can save this article by registering for free here. Or sign-in if you have an account.(Bloomberg) — President Donald Trump and Iran’s new supreme leader both struck defiant tones on the 13th day of the war, offering little relief to energy markets despite fresh US efforts to curb oil prices. Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.Subscribe now to read the latest news in your city and across Canada.Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.Create an account or sign in to continue with your reading experience.The American president said in a social media post Thursday that preventing Iran from having nuclear weapons and threatening the Middle East is “of far greater interest and importance to me” than the cost of oil. Mojtaba Khamenei said the Islamic Republic would seek to ensure the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively closed. In his first public comments since succeeding his father, he added that Tehran would look to open other fronts in the war if the US and Israel persist with their attacks. Get the latest headlines, breaking news and columns.By signing up you consent to receive the above newsletter from Postmedia Network Inc.A welcome email is on its way. If you don't see it, please check your junk folder.The next issue of Top Stories will soon be in your inbox.We encountered an issue signing you up. Please try againInterested in more newsletters? Browse here.Trump, in a Truth Social post late Thursday, warned Iran to “watch what happens” today.“We have unparalleled firepower, unlimited ammunition, and plenty of time,” he said. “Iran’s Navy is gone, their Air Force is no longer, missiles, drones and everything else are being decimated, and their leaders have been wiped from the face of the earth.”Oil prices rose more than 9% on Thursday with Brent crude ending the session above $100 for the first time since August 2022. US crude futures also settled at the highest levels in more than three years.The blockage of the Strait of Hormuz has disrupted millions of barrels a day of supply and caused what the International Energy Agency described as the biggest hit to global production on record. A series of moves from the Trump administration and other governments aimed at lowering energy costs also did little to dent oil’s rally.On Thursday evening, the US announced a second authorization for buyers to take Russian oil cargoes already at sea to help ease prices.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, in a social media post, said the move was designed to be a “narrowly tailored, short-term measure” that “applies only to oil already in transit and will not provide significant financial benefit to the Russian government.” Although Trump has cited the overthrow of Iran’s leadership as a motive for the military campaign, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Thursday that there was no guarantee that the government that has ruled the country for 47 years would be toppled, even in its now weakened state. “A regime is ultimately brought down from within,” he told reporters in his first press briefing since the war began. There’s little sign that the war in the Middle East is anywhere close to a de-escalation after almost two weeks of clashes. Israel launched a fresh wave of large-scale strikes across Iran on Thursday, while the Islamic Republic stepped up attacks on Dubai and shipping assets.

French President Emmanuel Macron announced on X that one of his country’s soldiers had been killed during an attack in the Erbil region of Iraq. Macron added that several other French soldiers had been wounded. Seven US service members have died in the war. Also on Thursday, rescue operations were underway after a KC-135 refueling plane crashed in western Iraq. The episode involved another aircraft, which landed safely, according to a press release, which said “this was not due to hostile fire or friendly fire.”Iran has likely begun laying mines in the Strait of Hormuz, UK Defense Secretary John Healey told reporters. Iran’s deputy foreign minister denied that his country was doing so, according to the AFP. Three commercial vessels were struck in the Arabian Gulf in the past 24 hours, the UK Maritime Trade Operations said in a notice, highlighting the risk that maritime disruptions to transport are expanding.“Studies have been conducted into opening other fronts where the enemy has little experience and would be highly vulnerable, and their activation will take place if the state of war persists,” Khamenei said. The new supreme leader, a 56-year-old hardline cleric, was appointed after his father, Ali Khamenei, was killed in early US and Israeli attacks on Feb. 28. Iranian media had reported that the younger Khamenei had been injured.Trump said he thinks the new supreme leader is “damaged” but “alive in some form,” in an interview on FOX News Radio’s The Brian Kilmeade Show, while again hailing the performance of the US military.“We’ve knocked out most of their missiles. We’ve knocked out many of their drones. We knocked out a lot of the manufacturing areas where they manufacture the missiles and now the drones,” he said. “We’re hitting them harder than anybody’s been hit since World War II.”Dubai authorities reported at least two strikes Thursday morning after residents received missile alerts overnight, underlining the threat to the financial and tourist hub long seen as a safe haven. Kuwait reported several drones fired at its international airport, resulting in material damages. US officials told lawmakers that the first six days of the war with Iran cost more than $11.3 billion, a person familiar with the matter said, in the most detailed assessment yet of campaign’s expense.The US and Israel have been attacking Iran with airstrikes since Feb. 28. US Central Command reported about 6,000 targets struck since the start of military operations. Tehran has responded with missiles and drones fired across the Gulf. Besides jolting energy and financial markets, the conflict has resulted in thousands of flight cancellations and disrupted the flows of fertilizer and other goods.

Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said the military is preparing to expand its operations in Lebanon, where it’s been fighting a parallel campaign against the Iran-aligned Hezbollah militia. Around 2,500 people have been killed across the Middle East since the war began, official tolls and those from non-government agencies show. The Strait of Hormuz — through which about a fifth of the world’s oil and natural gas flows — has been all but impassable since the opening salvos of the war. Saudi Arabia, Iraq, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates all have had to curb crude production.Ports in Oman and on the UAE’s east coast — both outside the narrow waterway — are being used as emergency gateways for goods bound for the region. The US Navy could start escorting tankers through the strait by the end of this month, Energy Secretary Chris Wright said.

The International Energy Agency warned on Thursday that the current oil supply disruption is the largest in the history of the oil market, underscoring days of wild price swings. The war has hit 7.5% of global output and an even bigger swath of exports, it said. Back-channel talks between Tehran and US allies are nowhere close to finding a way to reopen the Strait of Hormuz, people familiar with the matter said.“There’s no plan, there’s no endgame” for the US-Israeli campaign, Richard Dalton, former UK ambassador to Iran, told Bloomberg Radio. “It appears that as the ripples spread, the United States is losing control.”US adversaries have shown deepening ties as the war continues to widen. Russia is providing Iran with various forms of intelligence — including satellite imagery and drone targeting tactics — in an effort to help Iran hit back, according to people familiar with US and Western intelligence. On Wednesday, Trump tried to reassure Americans and traders about energy prices, saying a massive release of a record 400 million barrels in emergency oil reserves approved by the IEA would ease price pressures. His comments and the announcement of the release did little to calm volatile markets.The US national average cost for a gallon of gasoline is at $3.60, its highest since May 2024, American Automobile Association data show.At least 1,825 Iranians have been killed so far, according to the Human Rights Activists News Agency. As many as 3.2 million Iranians have been temporarily displaced, the UN’s refugee agency said on X.About 47,000 American citizens have returned to the US since Feb. 28, the State Department said Thursday.There have been several deaths in Gulf countries and Israel. And 634 people have been killed by Israeli strikes in Lebanon, which began on March 2, the Lebanese state-run National News Agency said. The Israeli military said that command posts of the militant group Hezbollah had been hit, Agence France-Presse reported on Thursday. —With assistance from John Bowker, Eric Martin, Devika Krishna Kumar, Romy Varghese, Laura Davison, Michael Heath and Jon Herskovitz.(Updates with Trump’s warning from fourth paragraph.)Postmedia is committed to maintaining a lively but civil forum for discussion. Please keep comments relevant and respectful. Comments may take up to an hour to appear on the site. You will receive an email if there is a reply to your comment, an update to a thread you follow or if a user you follow comments. Visit our Community Guidelines for more information.

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Source: Financial Post

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