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Treasuries Rally as Oil Tumbles on Mideast Peace Deal Optimism

Michael MacKenzie, Ye Xie
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⚡ Quantum Brief
U.S. Treasury yields plunged to one-month lows on April 17, 2026, as benchmark rates fell 7-9 basis points across maturities amid shifting market sentiment. Oil prices tumbled sharply on growing optimism that a Middle East peace deal could ease geopolitical tensions, particularly reducing risks of conflict with Iran. Federal Reserve rate cut expectations surged as traders priced in higher probabilities of monetary easing this year, reacting to the market shifts and potential economic stabilization. The rally in Treasuries reflected a flight to safety and recalibrated inflation expectations, with investors betting on lower energy costs and reduced supply chain disruptions. The moves underscore how geopolitical developments—even tentative ones—can rapidly reshape global financial markets, particularly in energy and fixed-income sectors.
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Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000Connecting decision makers to a dynamic network of information, people and ideas, Bloomberg quickly and accurately delivers business and financial information, news and insight around the worldAmericas+1 212 318 2000EMEA+44 20 7330 7500Asia Pacific+65 6212 1000War With Iran:The US Treasury building in Washington.Treasuries jumped, sending yields to their lowest levels in a month, as oil prices tumbled on optimism a Middle East peace deal is within reach.Benchmark yields fell seven to nine basis points across maturities and traders boosted expectations the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this year.

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