Back to News
investment

Top Stocks to Double Up on Right Now

newsfeedback@fool.com (Lee Samaha)
Loading...
5 min read
0 likes
⚡ Quantum Brief
Middle East conflicts in early 2026 have driven oil prices higher, boosting shares of Diamondback Energy (FANG) and Valero Energy (VLO), with analysts predicting sustained gains beyond short-term geopolitical volatility. Diamondback Energy, a Permian Basin-focused producer, benefits from conservative management, low production costs, and a $4.20 annual dividend protected down to $37 oil, with $2.3B remaining in its buyback program. Valero Energy’s refineries gain from widened crack spreads—now above $47—due to regional supply disruptions, as U.S.-based operations avoid direct exposure to Gulf instability while capitalizing on reduced global refining capacity. The Strait of Hormuz closure and potential infrastructure damage in the Gulf could prolong oil price surges, favoring both firms’ long-term profitability despite short-term market fluctuations. Both stocks outperform in 2026, reflecting structural shifts in energy markets rather than temporary conflict-driven spikes, with Diamondback’s hedging and Valero’s refining advantage ensuring resilience.
AI Audio Summary
0:00 / 0:00
Click to play
f7e9219d-7515-46fb-86c9-f4778fc4627f.jpeg
Quantum News · Media Library

By Lee Samaha – Mar 22, 2026 at 2:05AM ESTKey PointsA U.S. oil exploration and production company is ideally positioned to benefit from higher oil prices. A petroleum-refining stock is surging on the back of an increased crack spread.The conflict in the Middle East and Iran has near-term and potentially long-term ramifications. Shares in Diamondback Energy (FANG +1.14%) and Valero Energy (VLO 0.91%) have risen strongly in 2026, partly in response to hostilities in the Gulf and the resulting increase in oil prices. However, they shouldn't be seen as mere tactical devices to protect a portfolio from a potential issue that might resolve with a swift resolution of the conflict. The reality is that both stocks could see a lasting positive impact. 1.

Diamondback Energy Diamondback is a U.S. oil and gas exploration and production company with a major focus on the Permian Basin, the most productive oil region in the U.S. that covers West Texas and New Mexico. It's a relatively conservatively run company whose management takes a flexible approach to drilling activity and capital spending. Image source: Getty Images. The company's management team is committed to returning cash flow to investors, having returned $12.5 billion since 2018, including a base dividend (which grew from $0.50 a year to $4.20 a year over the period), opportunistic share buybacks, and share buyback programs. Regarding the latter, in late February, it had $2.3 billion remaining out of an approved $8 billion share buyback program. The $4.20 dividend is protected down to an oil price of $37 per barrel, supported by hedging and its relatively low cost of production. Management believes it has upside exposure to a price of oil above $50 per barrel. ExpandNASDAQ: FANGDiamondback EnergyToday's Change(1.14%) $2.17Current Price$192.48Key Data PointsMarket Cap$54BDay's Range$190.67 - $194.6652wk Range$114.00 - $194.68Volume106KAvg Vol2.6MGross Margin35.16%Dividend Yield2.10% A higher oil price obviously helps Diamondback, and if the Strait of Hormuz, where 20% of the world's energy previously passed through, remains closed, oil prices will likely rise. The pressure could be more sustained if there's greater damage to energy infrastructure in the region. 2.

Valero Energy Buying stock in a petroleum refiner due to the threat of an extended period of relatively high oil prices might seem a questionable move right now. After all, if oil prices get too high, they could cause demand destruction for petroleum products over the long term, and since crude oil is a cost input for Valero, higher prices should pressure profit margins. But the world has lived with $100 oil before, and the reality is that the key metric refiners care about is the "crack" spread between input costs and the prices of refined products. Moreover, Valero's 15 refineries consist of 13 in the U.S. and one apiece in Canada and the U.K. , and it therefore primarily sources U.S. crude oil. Furthermore, the current and potentially future difficulties play into Valero's hands, as oil refineries have been hit in the conflict and could be hit again. It's also not yet clear what lasting damage could be done to them. This can result in wide crack spreads between refined products and crude due to a lack of supply. ExpandNYSE: VLOValero EnergyToday's Change(-0.91%) $-2.21Current Price$239.86Key Data PointsMarket Cap$72BDay's Range$237.94 - $244.7452wk Range$99.00 - $247.73Volume20MAvg Vol3.7MGross Margin4.45%Dividend Yield1.91% Indeed, the current 3-2-1 crack spread (the yield produced by making two barrels of gasoline and one barrel of diesel from three barrels of crude oil) has blown up to above $47 recently, compared to the $15-to-$30 range it largely traded in over the last couple of years. If the conflict in the Gulf creates lasting, structural problems for the region's refineries and those who use its oil, then Valero is likely to be a winner.Read NextMar 11, 2026 •By Reuben Gregg BrewerThe Oil Spike Is Hitting the Markets. Here's What Investors Are Watching Next.Nov 18, 2025 •By Lee SamahaThe Best Energy Stock to Hold in Uncertain TimesNov 11, 2025 •By Lee SamahaIs Diamondback Energy Stock a Buy on the Dip?Nov 7, 2025 •By Matt DiLalloWhat's the Deal With Diamondback Energy Stock Right Now?Sep 3, 2025 •By Eric VolkmanWhy Diamondback Energy Stock Dipped on WednesdayJul 20, 2025 •By Lee SamahaBetter Energy Stock: Diamondback Energy vs. ChevronAbout the AuthorLee Samaha is a contributing Stock Market Analyst at The Motley Fool covering industrials, electricals, energy, materials, transportation, and infrastructure stocks. Prior to The Motley Fool, Lee was a Civil Engineer and Investment Manager. He holds a Bachelor of Civil and Structural Engineering from Southampton University and a Certificate in Investment Management from Chartered Institute for Securities & Investment. Lee first cut his investing teeth on The Motley Fool bulletin boards (commonly referred to as the “Fool Boards,”) and he’s infinitely grateful to all of the investors he learned from in this powerful investing community.TMFSaintGermainX@LeeSamahaStocks MentionedDiamondback EnergyNASDAQ: FANG$192.48(+1.14%)+$2.17Valero EnergyNYSE: VLO$239.86(-0.91%)-$2.21*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Read Original

Tags

energy-climate

Source Information

Source: The Motley Fool

Discussion

0 professional contributions

Sign in to join this professional discussion.

Be the first to add a constructive contribution.