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Top economist Steve Hanke says AI is 'overhyped and potentially dangerous'

Theron Mohamed
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Economist Steve Hanke warns AI is "overhyped and potentially dangerous," aligning with Meta’s ex-AI chief Yann LeCun, who called large language models a "dead end" toward human-level intelligence in a 2024 speech. Hanke, a Johns Hopkins professor and former Reagan advisor, cautioned in 2025 that AI’s market exuberance depends on unrealistic revenue forecasts, urging investors to "buckle your seat belt" amid bubble risks. Despite skepticism, AI giants like OpenAI (valued at $850B) and Meta/Amazon/Alphabet plan $520B in 2026 capex, while Microsoft targets $100B+ this year, fueling infrastructure races. Critics like Michael Burry and Jeremy Grantham compare AI’s bubble to past tech booms (railroads, internet), warning of overinvestment in soon-obsolete chips and inevitable market corrections. Proponents like Elon Musk and Sam Altman counter that AI will revolutionize productivity, justifying soaring valuations, deepening the divide between AI optimists and skeptics.
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Top economist Steve Hanke says AI is 'overhyped and potentially dangerous'

Steve Hanke is a veteran trader, economist, and professor at Johns Hopkins University. Steve Hanke 2026-02-21T11:27:01.223Z Share Copy link Email Facebook WhatsApp X LinkedIn Bluesky Threads lighning bolt icon An icon in the shape of a lightning bolt.

Impact Link Save Saved Read in app This story is available exclusively to Business Insider subscribers. Become an Insider and start reading now. Have an account? Log in. Steve Hanke says AI is "overhyped and potentially dangerous." The veteran trader and economist said he agrees with Yann LeCun about chatbots' shortcomings. Hanke previously said the AI boom could be a bubble and his advice was to "buckle your seat belt." Steve Hanke says there's excessive buzz around AI — and it could end badly. The veteran trader and economist told Business Insider by email that he agrees with Yann LeCun, Meta's former chief AI scientist and a pioneer in the field, who's warned that large language models (LLMs) such as ChatGPT just aren't that revolutionary.Hanke quoted a speech by LeCun in the spring of 2024, where he said: "We're easily fooled into thinking they are intelligent because of their fluency with language, but really, their understanding of reality is very superficial." LeCun added that the chatbots have their uses but "on the path towards human-level intelligence, an LLM is basically an off-ramp, a distraction, a dead end."Hanke, a professor of applied economics at Johns Hopkins University, said he's "on LeCun's side of the court" and considers AI to be "overhyped and potentially dangerous." He told Business Insider last October that whether the market's exuberance turned out to be rational or irrational would "largely depend on whether the AI firms' spectacular revenue forecasts hold water.""It might be wise to buckle your seat belt," he added. Hanke was the president of Toronto Trust Argentina when it was the world's best-performing market mutual fund in 1995. He also served as an economic advisor to President Ronald Reagan.Believers and skepticsDespite some recent jitters, the AI boom seems to be going strong with OpenAI reportedly close to raising north of $100 billion at a potential $850 billion valuation. ChatGPT's maker crossed $20 billion in annualized revenue last year. The so-called "hyperscalers" racing to build the infrastructure to power the AI boom have forecasted some truly mind-boggling outlays.Meta, Amazon, and Alphabet recently projected that their capital expenditures for 2026 could reach a combined $520 billion, and Microsoft is also on track to invest more than $100 billion this calendar year. LeCun recently departed Meta after working at Facebook and Instagram's parent company for more than a decade. He left to found Paris-based AMI Labs and develop open-source AI that could truly comprehend and model the physical world, not just language.Hanke isn't alone in sounding the alarm on the AI boom. Michael Burry of "The Big Short" fame has warned tech giants are overinvesting in microchips that could quickly become obsolete, and could see disappointing returns. Jeremy Grantham, a bubble guru and GMO's long-term investment strategist, has cautioned that previous transformative technologies, such as railroads and the internet, were marked by initial bubbles that inevitably popped, and he expects the same to happen with AI.However, AI champions from Elon Musk to Sam Altman have predicted the tech will supercharge productivity and generate huge profits, so the run-up in valuations is more than justified.

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