Back to News
investment

Is This Payments Stock Undervalued After Its Recent Decline?

newsfeedback@fool.com (Jennifer Saibil)
Loading...
4 min read
0 likes
⚡ Quantum Brief
PayPal’s stock plunged 83% from its peak amid stagnant growth, with just 1% active account expansion in 2025 despite 439 million users, as rivals like Apple and Alphabet erode its dominance in digital payments. The company missed Q4 2025 earnings expectations despite a 7% payment volume rise and 14% adjusted EPS growth, while forecasting declines in transaction margins and EPS, triggering investor concerns over profitability. CEO Alex Chriss abruptly exited, replaced by HP’s Enrique Lores, adding leadership uncertainty as the stock trades at a historic low P/E ratio of 9, raising questions about recovery potential. New AI-driven partnerships with OpenAI, Microsoft, and Google—including Store Sync for AI-powered shopping—signal innovation, but execution risks remain amid intensifying competition and slowing transaction growth. Analysts debate whether PayPal’s dirt-cheap valuation reflects undervaluation or fundamental decline, with bulls citing its brand strength and tech bets, while bears highlight persistent revenue and margin pressures.
AI Audio Summary
0:00 / 0:00
Click to play
Untitled design (24).png
Quantum News · Media Library

By Jennifer Saibil – Apr 18, 2026 at 12:45PM ESTKey PointsPayPal missed analyst expectations on the top and bottom lines in the fourth quarter.It recently made several exciting announcements, including a CEO change and partnerships with OpenAI and Microsoft.PayPal stock is trading at a dirt cheap price.Things have gotten ugly for PayPal (PYPL +1.96%). The payments giant has been struggling to grow, and its stock is 83% off its all-time high. However, it still has a huge business and many opportunities. Let's see what went wrong, what's going right, and if the stock is undervalued at the current price. PayPal is ceding territory in digital payments PayPal has 439 million active accounts and 231 million monthly active accounts as of the end of the 2025 fourth quarter. That gives it a first-mover's edge against competitors, but it also makes it harder to generate growth. Active accounts and monthly active accounts grew only 1% in 2025. Image source: The Motley Fool. For a while, the company had shifted its focus to monetizing its existing customer base rather than winning new customers, but transaction growth per active customer has been on the decline over the past four quarters. There are a plethora of new payment options that are gaining traction and capturing market share, and PayPal's historic lead is eroding, even though it's still the company to beat in digital payments. Companies like Alphabet and Apple, which have easy access to their users, offer competitive options. It has become a challenge for PayPal to maintain its lead, although it has been doing pretty much everything under the sun to boost growth. PayPal's 2025 financial results were mostly positive. Total payment volume was up 7%, and revenue increased 4%. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) rose 14%. However, it missed Wall Street expectations on the top and bottom line for the fourth quarter. PayPal is also still working on boosting its branded business, which has higher margins than its unbranded business. Management has been measuring its profitability with a metric it calls transaction margin dollars. This demonstrates how profitable transactions are overall and that revenue growth is efficient. This metric increased 6% in 2025. ExpandNASDAQ: PYPLPayPalToday's Change(1.96%) $0.97Current Price$50.78Key Data PointsMarket Cap$47BDay's Range$49.80 - $51.2052wk Range$38.46 - $79.50Volume699KAvg Vol24MGross Margin41.78%Dividend Yield0.55% Uncertainty and opportunity Even worse than the fourth-quarter miss was a disappointing outlook that called for slight declines in transaction margin dollars and EPS. Along with the results came the stunning announcement that relatively new CEO Alex Chriss is leaving, and HP CEO Enrique Lores is coming on board in the top spot. While that's exciting news, it wasn't enough to keep PayPal stock from plunging. At the current price, PayPal stock trades at the dirt cheap P/E ratio of less than 9. That's only undervalued if you expect the stock to rise. There are plenty of reasons to be excited about what's happening at PayPal, which has introduced a slew of important updates, including partnerships with Google, Microsoft, and OpenAI.

Its Store Sync capabilities make purchases available through artificial intelligence (AI) platforms using PayPal, which could be the shopping of the future. PayPal stock does look undervalued at the current price, considering its brand power, innovation, and dominant position in digital payments. However, given the current uncertainty, it may take time for the company to stage a comeback and reward shareholders.Read NextApr 18, 2026 •By Neil PatelWhere Will PayPal Stock Be in 1 Year?Apr 17, 2026 •By Neil RozenbaumThis Stock Is at Its Lowest Valuation Ever, And Earnings Could Change EverythingApr 16, 2026 •By Leo SunFrom PayPal to Palantir: What Peter Thiel's Track Record Means for Patient Shareholders TodayApr 16, 2026 •By Anders BylundBest Crypto Stocks for 2026Apr 15, 2026 •By John BallardCoinbase vs. PayPal: Scale and Stability in RevenueApr 8, 2026 •By Adam LevyBest Growth Stocks to Buy in 2026About the AuthorJennifer Saibil has been a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering the consumer goods and financial sectors since 2019. She previously worked in the financial sector and has written for other finance publications. She holds a bachelor’s degree in finance from Yeshiva University and a master’s degree in public administration from New York University’s Wagner School of Public Service.TMFanibirdStocks MentionedPayPalNASDAQ: PYPL$50.79(+1.96%)+$0.98*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Read Original

Tags

partnership

Source Information

Source: The Motley Fool

Discussion

0 professional contributions

Sign in to join this professional discussion.

Be the first to add a constructive contribution.