This Magnificent Software Stock Is Down 35%. Buy It Before It Sets a New All-Time High.

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By James Brumley – Mar 31, 2026 at 12:45PM ESTKey PointsMost of the correction artificial intelligence stocks have suffered has been overdone.One of these names in particular, in fact, has given up far more ground than it arguably should have.Investors who can look more than a couple quarters into the future should be well rewarded by this ticker.The weakness since November makes enough superficial sense. That's when the world began rethinking the actual value of artificial intelligence (AI), as well as most AI stocks' steep valuations. Now down 35% from its late-October peak, however, the sellers have arguably overshot their target when it comes to Microsoft (MSFT +3.20%). That means opportunity for you. The stage was set for a sizable pullback no matter what Don't misunderstand. Microsoft shares may or may not have reached their ultimate bottom. They're likely closer to that low than not, though, and certainly destined to rebound to new record high sooner than later. ExpandNASDAQ: MSFTMicrosoftToday's Change(3.20%) $11.48Current Price$370.44Key Data PointsMarket Cap$2.7TDay's Range$363.08 - $370.7452wk Range$344.79 - $555.45Volume1.3MAvg Vol36MGross Margin68.59%Dividend Yield0.97% Microsoft's artificial intelligence business is the key culprit behind the pullback. It's not doing as well as it seemingly should. Microsoft's AI-powered Copilot chatbot only boasts about 3% global market share, according to numbers from Statcounter. And, while it's faring better in North America with a share of around 6%, only a tiny fraction of any of these users are paying for the premium version of the otherwise free artificial intelligence offering. It's also conspicuously not gaining market share on this front. In this vein, the company's cloud computing platform, Azure, is seeing slowing revenue growth, from a pace of 39% (in constant currency) during the three months ending in September to only 38% during the most recently reported quarter. That's still a big number, but alarmingly, this pace is expected to slow again for the current quarter. And all of these growth numbers are lower than the comparable figures being reported by rivals like Alphabet. This makes the $120 billion worth of capital expenditures -- mostly on artificial intelligence infrastructure -- that Microsoft intends to make this fiscal year a tough pill for most investors to swallow. It doesn't seem like the company's getting enough bang for its buck. Investors simply panicked. The business is still there to be won by Microsoft The issue, however, isn't a lack of demand. As CFO Amy Hood explained during January's earnings call (and reiterated several times), "We continue to see strong demand across workloads, customer segments, and geographic regions and demand continues to exceed available supply." Perhaps the stumbling block was her comment, "As a reminder, there can be quarterly variability in year-on-year growth rates depending on the timing of capacity delivery and when it comes online, as well as from in-period revenue recognition depending on the mix of contracts." It's a problem simply because most investors haven't been required to be patient when it comes to artificial intelligence. As the industry matures and evolves though, patience becomes an inevitable requirement. Image source: Getty Images. And it's certainly worth the wait. This is still one of the world's most important technology companies, after all. Microsoft's Windows operating system remains the foundation of most corporate and consumer computing, installed on two-thirds of the planet's desktop computers (according to Statcounter). And its business/productivity software remains among the world's most preferred options, with the cloud-based version of Microsoft Office alone now reportedly used by as many as 400 million paying subscribers. The things that once made Microsoft great are still intact. It's just going to take a little time for investors to be reminded of this. Turning newly added AI capacity into revenue over the course of the coming few quarters should help do the trick. This might help in the meantime: analysts' one-year consensus target of $587.77 is more than 60% above Microsoft stock's present price. The vast majority of analysts also currently rate MSFT stock as a strong buy.Read NextMar 31, 2026 •By Catherine BrockWho Owns Ford? Largest Shareholders & Board of DirectorsMar 31, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanWho Owns ChatGPT? Largest Shareholders & Board of DirectorsMar 31, 2026 •By Justin PopeIs Microsoft Stock a Value Trap?Mar 31, 2026 •By Will Healy1 Magnificent Growth Stock Down 32% That Smart Money Is Quietly AccumulatingMar 31, 2026 •By Keithen Drury2 Beaten-Down AI Stocks to Buy Before the Next Bull MarketMar 30, 2026 •By Eric TrieStock Market Today, March 30: Microsoft Rises on Copilot Expansion and New AI Product LaunchesAbout the AuthorJames Brumley is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering consumer staples and consumer discretionary stocks. James is a former licensed stockbroker with Charles Schwab, and a registered investment adviser. He holds a bachelor’s degree in business management with a specialization in finance from Transylvania University.TMFjbrumleyX@jbrumleyStocks MentionedMicrosoftNASDAQ: MSFT$370.38(+3.18%)+$11.42*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.
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