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This Industry Group Is the Most Positive About Q1 Earnings

newsfeedback@fool.com (Matthew Benjamin)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Semiconductor and equipment firms lead Q1 earnings optimism, with 54% of S&P 500 companies issuing positive EPS guidance—well above the 5- and 10-year averages of 42% and 40%, per FactSet data. Major chipmakers like Nvidia, Intel, Broadcom, and Micron, alongside equipment suppliers Applied Materials and Lam Research, dominate positive forecasts, signaling sector resilience despite March’s oil price surge to $100/barrel. The semiconductor group outperformed the S&P 500, rising 7% YTD and 84% over 52 weeks, with analysts expecting further gains if earnings exceed Wall Street estimates in April-May reports. Key earnings dates include Lam Research (April 22), Intel (April 23), KLA (April 29), Applied Materials (May 4), and Nvidia (May 20), which may influence broader market sentiment. The SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD) surged 18% YTD and 110% over 52 weeks, offering investors exposure to the high-growth sector amid sustained bullish guidance.
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By Matthew Benjamin – Apr 15, 2026 at 8:30AM ESTKey PointsA number of chipmakers will report their most recent quarterly results in April and May. Many companies in the group say they expect to beat Wall Street earnings estimates.First-quarter earnings season kicks off this week, and it promises to be an interesting one, as the third month of the quarter, March, saw oil prices rise from about $72 a barrel to over $100 a barrel. Most companies can be negatively affected by a spike in energy prices, either directly because energy is a significant input to their operations, or indirectly because higher energy prices can reduce consumer spending elsewhere in the economy. So, it wouldn't be surprising to see some growing pessimism about first-quarter earnings. Yet, CEOs of large companies seem relatively optimistic about their companies' financial performance. That's according to FactSet, which tracks S&P earnings reports. Overall, 110 of the 500 large U.S.-listed firms in the S&P 500 index have issued quarterly EPS guidance for the first quarter (that guidance is a sort of pre-earnings announcement issued in advance of a company's actual earnings report). Of those 110 companies, 59 (about 54%) issued positive EPS guidance, meaning they expect to report earnings that beat the consensus Wall Street estimate. That percentage is well above the five-year average of 42% issuing positive guidance and the 10-year average of 40%. Let's dive in deeper to see what investment ideas might stand out. Image source: Getty Images. Guidance from tech companies was most optimistic At the sector level, information technology companies see the most optimism in terms of positive earnings guidance. And at the industry level, the semiconductors and semiconductor equipment industry (within the information technology sector) has the highest number of companies issuing positive EPS guidance, according to FactSet. That group includes the big chipmakers like Nvidia, Intel, Broadcom, and Micron Technology, as well as companies like Applied Materials, Lam Research, and KLA, which supply complex fabrication and test equipment to semiconductor and related industries around the world. The entire industry group is up about 7% so far in 2026 (for comparison, the S&P 500 index is about flat for the year). Over the past 52 weeks, the group is up 84%, a much larger gain than the 25% the S&P 500 index produced over that time period. Yet, if the group outperforms Wall Street earnings estimates, as many of its companies predict, I expect these stocks to rise even higher. Here are a few earnings announcements to watch in April and May include (some of these are estimated dates). How these companies performed in the most recent quarter may set the tone for the entire market. Lam Research – Wednesday, April 22 Intel – Thursday, April 23 KLA – Wednesday, April 29 Applied Materials – Monday, May 4 Nvidia – Wednesday, May 20 ExpandNYSEMKT: XSDSPDR Series Trust - State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETFToday's Change(2.16%) $8.21Current Price$389.06Key Data PointsDay's Range$383.21 - $389.3652wk Range$166.59 - $389.36Volume67 For investors interested in semiconductor and semiconductor equipment stocks, consider the State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETF (XSD +2.16%), which is up about 18% this year and more than 110% over the past 52 weeks. I think it's a wise investment.Read NextApr 15, 2026 •By Harsh ChauhanPrediction: Micron Will Be a Trillion-Dollar Stock by 2030Apr 15, 2026 •By Prosper Junior BakinyAmazon's $50 Billion AI Chip Business: A Significant Threat to Nvidia?Apr 15, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerDid Anthropic Just Crown CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks the AI Cybersecurity Stock Winners?Apr 15, 2026 •By James Brumley"Big Short" Investor Michael Burry Says Palantir Is Worth Less Than $50 a Share -- Here's Why He's Betting Against It in 2026Apr 15, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerShould You Buy Microsoft Stock After Its Correction, or Run for the Hills?Apr 15, 2026 •By Marc GubertiShould Investors Buy AppLovin Stock After It Dropped by More Than 40%About the AuthorMatthew Benjamin is a contributing Motley Fool stock market and investing analyst covering publicly-traded companies across all sectors. Prior to The Motley Fool, Matt was a senior markets expert at an investing newsletter in Baltimore, an editorial consultant to the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF), and an economics correspondent at Bloomberg News. He holds a B.A. from Bucknell University and an M.A. from New York University. Fun fact: Matt has met every Federal Reserve Chair from Paul Volcker through Jerome Powell.TMFMbenjamin68Stocks MentionedSPDR Series Trust - State Street SPDR S&P Semiconductor ETFNYSEMKT: XSD$389.06(+2.16%)+$8.21*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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