SpaceX IPO Poses Existential Threat to AST SpaceMobile, Verizon, and AT&T

By Rich Smith – Feb 14, 2026 at 6:06AM ESTKey PointsSpaceX plans to IPO in 2026.SpaceX's Starlink DTC business alone is many times larger than AST SpaceMobile.SpaceX may have begun competing directly with AST partners AT&T and Verizon in internet backhaul.We’re bullish on these 10 stocks ›NASDAQ: ASTSAST SpaceMobileMarket Cap$23BToday's Changeangle-down(0.44%) $0.36Current Price$82.58Price as of February 13, 2026 at 3:58 PM ETSpaceX is shaking up the telecom industry -- and it hasn't even gone public yet.Sometime in 2026, Elon Musk will hold an initial public offering (IPO) for SpaceX. We don't know precisely when the IPO will happen. But it's becoming increasingly clear that when SpaceX does IPO, it's going to be bad news for basically everyone with whom SpaceX competes. Who will become the next victims of Elon Musk? Rival rocket companies United Launch Alliance (ULA) and Rocket Lab in the U.S., and Arianespace in Europe, are all obvious targets. The biggest name in space launch already, SpaceX will become even more formidable once it has a $1.5 trillion IPO valuation to work with. Just the $50 billion in new cash that SpaceX is rumored to be raising would be 30% more than Rocket Lab's entire market capitalization -- and 4 times all the revenue that ULA co-owner Lockheed Martin generates from its space business in a year. So you can see why other space companies might be a bit nervous. Less obvious is the threat Musk poses to the telecom industry, though -- to rising star AST SpaceMobile (ASTS +0.44%), and to two of AST's biggest business partners, AT&T (T 0.38%) and Verizon Communications (VZ 0.93%). Image source: Getty Images. Starlink DTC Last month, SpaceX published its most recent Starlink Progress Report, detailing the growing size and influence of its satellite internet business, Starlink. Among the other revelations from this report -- such as the fact that SpaceX now has more than 9,000 Starlink satellites in orbit, 9.2 million paying customers down here on Earth, and more than $10 billion in annual revenue from Starlink alone -- SpaceX also gave important insight into Starlink's newest venture: direct-to-cell (DTC) telephony. After just two years in the DTC business, SpaceX has now put 650 Starlink DTC satellites in orbit -- about 7% of the total. Already, Starlink DTC covers 22 countries on six continents, making Starlink "the largest 4G coverage provider on planet Earth, connecting over 12 million users and counting." The number of Starlink DTC satellites nearly doubled in 2025, by the way, so it's growing rapidly -- not just in terms of subscribers, but also in terms of capability. Initially good only for sending Wireless Emergency Alerts and short texts, Starlink DTC can now support email and even video calls. Ultimately, SpaceX sees the total addressable market for Starlink DTC at 400 million users -- room for at least 33 times growth from where Starlink DTC is today. In contrast, AST SpaceMobile has just six BlueBird DTC satellites in orbit. It has not yet begun beta service -- and you have to imagine this is frustrating for its two biggest U.S. partners, telecoms AT&T and Verizon. ExpandNASDAQ: ASTSAST SpaceMobileToday's Change(0.44%) $0.36Current Price$82.58Key Data PointsMarket Cap$23BDay's Range$80.26 - $85.0052wk Range$18.22 - $129.89Volume508KAvg Vol15MGross Margin-38675.73% Allow me to make an observation Starlink DTC isn't the only thing AST, AT&T, and Verizon have to worry about, either. Reading through the Starlink Progress Report last month, the space analysts at Quilty Space struck upon a second fact that bears mentioning. Starlink has "activated" 20 total "Community gateways," of which 13 came online in 2025 alone (so more than 100% growth -- this part of Starlink's business is growing even faster than DTC). And as Quilty observes, setting up gateways to distribute satellite internet on the ground means Starlink "in some regions ... is no longer just the last-mile ISP, but the backhaul itself, a shift that nudges the system toward infrastructure-style regulation that SpaceX appears intent on normalizing before it is contested." (To help visualize this, the "last mile" of the internet is how you connect to your internet service provider via fiber, a cell tower, or a satellite. "Backhaul" further connects your ISP to central data centers and major internet hubs and from there to transnational and international internet backbones. Backhaul also happens to be an important part of the businesses at both AT&T and Verizon.) What does this mean for investors? Starlink DTC already puts SpaceX in competition with AT&T and Verizon in wireless -- initially just in areas with limited cellphone coverage, but increasingly everywhere. If Starlink is starting an infrastructure-style internet backhaul business, too, then that's a second area of the telecom business where the companies are in competition. And again, at present, Starlink is growing this part of its business faster even than it's growing its satellite fleet, and even faster than it's growing its number of Starlink DTC satellites. It will be hard to quantify the size of the business or the potential profits SpaceX might earn from it until we see the company's IPO prospectus. When the prospectus does come out, though, make sure to pay attention to this nascent backhaul business. Because SpaceX already is.Read NextFeb 2, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanWhy AST SpaceMobile Stock Jumped 53% in JanuaryJan 21, 2026 •By Jeremy BowmanWhy AST SpaceMobile Stock Was Sliding TodayJan 20, 2026 •By Courtney CarlsenCould Buying AST SpaceMobile Stock Today Set You Up for Life?Jan 16, 2026 •By Howard SmithWhy AST SpaceMobile Stock Soared TodayJan 14, 2026 •By James BrumleyGot $50,000?

This Supercharged Space Stock Is a Moonshot in the MakingJan 7, 2026 •By Rich SmithWhy AST SpaceMobile Stock Crashed TodayAbout the AuthorRich Smith is a contributing Motley Fool defense and stock market analyst covering publicly traded and emerging companies in defense, space, aerospace, and other sectors. Prior to The Motley Fool, Rich practiced international corporate law for Clifford Chance in Russia, and for the Russian-Ukrainian Legal Group in Moscow, Kyiv, and Washington, D.C. He holds a bachelor’s degree in international relations from the College of William & Mary, a law degree from the University of Baltimore, and a language certification from the International Institute of Russian Language & Culture in Tver, Russian Federation. The Globe and Mail once featured him as “one of the best stock pickers since 2009.”TMFDittyX@RichSmithFoolStocks MentionedAST SpaceMobileNASDAQ: ASTS$82.58 (+0.44%) $+0.36Verizon CommunicationsNYSE: VZ$49.00 (0.93%) $0.46AT&TNYSE: T$28.69 (0.38%) $0.11*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.