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The Space Sector Is Surging. Should You Buy AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab?

newsfeedback@fool.com (Rich Smith)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
SpaceX’s impending IPO—expected within days—sparked a volatile surge in space stocks, with AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab initially jumping 10% before retreating 8-9% the next day, signaling investor caution. AST SpaceMobile, a direct-to-cell satellite pioneer, trades at 325x sales with no earnings, no beta service, and extreme valuation risks, making it a speculative bet despite SpaceX’s looming $1.75T valuation. Rocket Lab, though operational with growing revenue and nearing profitability, remains overpriced at 60x sales—half SpaceX’s multiple but still steep for its early-stage growth trajectory. SpaceX’s IPO, poised to be the largest ever at $75B raised, sets an extreme benchmark (110x sales, 500x earnings), distorting comparisons but exposing overvaluation in smaller space players. Analysts warn both stocks face downside risks, with Rocket Lab’s potential pullback offering a better entry point than AST’s unproven, cash-burning model amid sector volatility.
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By Rich Smith – Mar 30, 2026 at 2:05PM ESTKey PointsSpaceX is expected to file its IPO in a matter of days.Investors rushed to buy space stocks in anticipation of the event Wednesday -- then sold them on Thursday.Wednesday was an amazing day to be a space investor. (Thursday was a bit less so!) News that SpaceX is preparing to file its IPO prospectus, setting an official date for its IPO, and revealing publicly for the first time its actual annual revenue and earnings ignited space stocks of all stripes. Shares of AST SpaceMobile (ASTS 7.21%), the company that popularized the concept of direct-to-cell satellite-based communication, shot up 10.4% in response to the SpaceX news. Rocket Lab (RKLB 6.33%), which launches Electron rockets smaller than SpaceX's Falcon 9 and is often described as an earlier-stage, not-yet-profitable SpaceX, did nearly as well -- up 10.3%. One day later, though, AST stock gave back 8.5% on Thursday, and Rocket Lab dropped 9.5%. That might give you a clue as to how to answer the question: "Should you buy AST SpaceMobile and Rocket Lab?" Because a lot of investors seem to have concluded that the answer is no. Image source: Getty Images. Don't buy AST SpaceMobile stock You can understand why investors were initially excited by the news that SpaceX will go public soon. As CNBC reports, the SpaceX IPO will be the world's biggest IPO ever, raising $75 billion in new cash for Elon Musk & Co. and valuing his space company at $1.75 trillion. If SpaceX actually hits those numbers, its stock will cost at least 110 times trailing sales and well north of 500 times trailing earnings. Any other space company is going to look cheap by comparison. But here's the thing: They aren't. And AST SpaceMobile is especially expensive. SpaceX may cost 110 times trailing sales, but AST SpaceMobile stock costs 325 times sales. SpaceX stock may cost 500 times earnings... but at least it has earnings. (We think. Still waiting on that prospectus.) What's certain is that AST SpaceMobile doesn't have any earnings at all, because it hasn't yet announced even beta service for the handful of satellites it has in orbit. ExpandNASDAQ: ASTSAST SpaceMobileToday's Change(-7.21%) $-5.67Current Price$73.00Key Data PointsMarket Cap$23BDay's Range$72.82 - $79.8752wk Range$18.22 - $129.89Volume415KAvg Vol15MGross Margin-14399.31% Don't buy Rocket Lab stock either Is Rocket Lab any better? In some respects, yes. Rocket Lab launches its Electron rockets with regularity, and at an accelerating pace, generating consistent and growing revenue. The stock's on a path to profit, and most Wall Street analysts agree it will probably earn at least something next year. Valuation-wise, however, the situation is iffy. Rocket Lab stock costs nearly 60 times trailing sales today -- only half as expensive as SpaceX, it's true, but still costs quite the pretty penny. If I didn't own Rocket Lab stock already, I probably wouldn't buy it at its current high price. Luckily for new investors, though, I think there's a very good chance an opportunity will emerge to buy Rocket Lab stock more economically. ExpandNASDAQ: RKLBRocket LabToday's Change(-6.33%) $-3.86Current Price$57.07Key Data PointsMarket Cap$35BDay's Range$56.65 - $61.6052wk Range$14.71 - $99.58Volume554KAvg Vol22MGross Margin31.66% Read NextMar 28, 2026 •By James HalleyHere's What Investors Need to Know About AST SpaceMobile Stock's Recent PullbackMar 27, 2026 •By Justin PopeBetter Buy: AST SpaceMobile or Rocket Lab?Mar 26, 2026 •By Leo SunAmid High Profile Deals, Is AST SpaceMobile's Stock a Buy in 2026?Mar 25, 2026 •By Rich SmithWhy AST SpaceMobile Stock Popped TodayMar 24, 2026 •By Sean Williams2 High-Flying Space Stocks Are Expected to Plunge Up to 56% in 2026, According to Select Wall Street AnalystsMar 23, 2026 •By Rick OrfordIs AST SpaceMobile a Buy, Sell, or Hold After Its 181% Run?About the AuthorRich Smith is a contributing Motley Fool defense and stock market analyst covering publicly traded and emerging companies in defense, space, aerospace, and other sectors. Prior to The Motley Fool, Rich practiced international corporate law for Clifford Chance in Russia, and for the Russian-Ukrainian Legal Group in Moscow, Kyiv, and Washington, D.C. He holds a bachelor’s degree in international relations from the College of William & Mary, a law degree from the University of Baltimore, and a language certification from the International Institute of Russian Language & Culture in Tver, Russian Federation. The Globe and Mail once featured him as “one of the best stock pickers since 2009.”TMFDittyX@RichSmithFoolStocks MentionedAST SpaceMobileNASDAQ: ASTS$73.05(-7.14%)-$5.62Rocket LabNASDAQ: RKLB$56.95(-6.53%)-$3.98*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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