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Soybeans Slipping Lower on Monday

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⚡ Quantum Brief
Soybean futures fell 6–7 cents Monday, extending Friday’s mixed close where expiring August contracts surged 18¼ cents in thin trading while other contracts dropped 4¾–6 cents. Soymeal futures declined $5.60–$9.00 per ton despite Argentina’s export-disrupting strike, while soy oil rose 20–38 points amid scrutiny over imported used cooking oil potentially being mislabeled virgin palm oil. USDA reported new export sales: 212,000 MT of soybeans (50,000 MT old crop, 162,000 MT new) and 100,000 MT of soymeal to Colombia, signaling steady demand despite market volatility. The upcoming WASDE report may raise old-crop soybean stocks to 350 mbu (+5 mbu) and new-crop estimates to 465 mbu (+30 mbu), reflecting production growth, though forecasts vary widely (380–555 mbu). Managed money funds cut net short positions to 169,016 contracts (-9,575), hinting at shifting sentiment as August ’24 soybeans traded at $10.28, down 7 cents from Friday’s close.
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AAPL TSLA AMZN META AMD NVDA PEP COST ADBE GOOG AMGN HON INTC INTU NFLX ADP SBUX MRNA AAPL TSLA AMZN META AMD NVDA PEP COST ADBE GOOG AMGN HON INTC INTU NFLX ADP SBUX MRNA AAPL TSLA AMZN META AMD NVDA PEP COST ADBE GOOG AMGN HON INTC INTU NFLX ADP SBUX MRNA Stocks Soybeans Slipping Lower on Monday August 12, 2024 — 10:08 am EDT Written by Alan Brugler for Barchart-> Soybeans are trading with losses of 6 to 7 cents so far on Monday morning. Soon to expire August soybean futures popped 18 ¼ cents in very thin trading on Friday, while the rest of the bean contracts settled 4 ¾ to 6 cents lower. Soymeal futures were down $5.60 to $9.00 per ton despite the strike in Argentina and potential disruptions to exports of meal and oil. Soy Oil futures settled 20 to 38 points higher. In addition to the Argentine situation, there is an investigation underway to determine if used cooking oil being imported for renewable biodiesel conversion is really that, or the less “green” virgin palm oil. If the imports are not legit, it might favor more soy oil inclusion in renewable diesel production. USDA reported a couple different export sale announcements on Friday morning, with 132,000 MT of new crop sold to China and 212,000 MT of soybeans sold to unknown during the ‘reporting period’ (50,000 MT for old crop and 162,000 MT for new crop). There was also a total of 100,000 MT of bean meal sold to Columbia, with 12,000 MT for 2023/24 and 88,000 MT for 2024/25.The monthly WASDE report on Monday is expected to show soybean stocks for old crop soybeans rising 5 mbu to 350 mbu. New crop estimates are running 465 mbu on average, up 30 mbu, mainly on expected production increases. The range of new crop stocks estimates is still wide at 380 to 555 mbu. Friday afternoon’s Commitment of Traders report showed that as of Tuesday, the managed money spec funds were still net short 169,016 contracts of soybean futures and options. That was a reduction of 9,575 contracts for the reporting week. Aug 24 Soybeans closed at $10.28, up 18 1/4 cents, currently down 7 centsNearby Cash was $9.73 1/4, down 6 1/2 cents,Sep 24 Soybeans closed at $9.88 3/4, down 4 3/4 cents, currently down 6 centsJan 25 Soybeans closed at $10.19 1/4, down 5 3/4 cents, currently down 6 cents New Crop Cash was $9.46, down 5 3/4 cents,On the date of publication, Alan Brugler did not have (either directly or indirectly) positions in any of the securities mentioned in this article. All information and data in this article is solely for informational purposes. For more information please view the Barchart Disclosure Policy here. The views and opinions expressed herein are the views and opinions of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.

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