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Should You Buy Chewy Stock Before March 25?

newsfeedback@fool.com (Leo Sun)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Chewy, the largest U.S. online pet retailer, will report Q4 and full-year earnings on March 25, with its stock down over 70% in five years despite signs of stabilization. Pandemic-driven growth peaked in 2020 with 47% sales growth, but post-pandemic slowdowns, inflation, and Amazon’s competition caused declining customer growth and weaker sales momentum. Recent stabilization efforts include expanding Autoship subscriptions (now 83.9% of sales), private-label products, pet health insurance, and Vet Care clinics, alongside a $79/year Chewy+ loyalty program. Analysts project 6% revenue growth and 25% adjusted EBITDA growth for 2025, with 2026 estimates at 7% and 24%, respectively, suggesting improving profitability. With an enterprise value of $8.9 billion and trading at 9x next year’s EBITDA, the stock appears undervalued if Q4 metrics show continued progress.
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By Leo Sun – Mar 23, 2026 at 8:08PM ESTKey PointsChewy’s stock has plunged over the past few years.But its business is stabilizing, and its stock looks undervalued.Chewy (CHWY +1.07%), the largest online pet retailer in the United States, will report its fourth quarter and full-year earnings on March 25. Should you buy its stock -- which has declined more than 70% over the past five years -- before it posts those latest numbers? Image source: Getty Images. Why did Chewy's stock stumble over the past few years? Chewy challenged brick-and-mortar pet stores by selling products online, and it grew rapidly in fiscal 2020 (which ended in Jan. 2021) as more pet owners stayed home during the pandemic. During that year, its active customers surged by 43%, its net sales per active customer rose by 3%, and its total net sales increased by 47%. But like many niche e-commerce players, Chewy couldn't sustain that momentum after the pandemic passed. Metric FY 2021 FY 2022 FY 2023 FY 2024 9M 2025 Active Customer Growth (YOY) 8% (1%) (2%) 2% 5% Net Sales per Active Customer Growth (YOY) 16% 8% 8% 4% 5% Net Sales Growth (YOY) 24% 13% 10% 6% 8% Data source: Chewy. YOY = Year-over-year. As Chewy lapped its pandemic-fueled growth spurt, inflation and other macro headwinds throttled its sales of non-essential pet products. It also faced tougher competition from Amazon, which aggressively expanded its private-label pet product line. Is Chewy's business stabilizing? Over the past two years, Chewy's top-line growth stabilized as it locked more customers into its recurring Autoship subscriptions, expanded its private-label product portfolio, sold more integrated ads across its marketplace, and offered more pet health insurance plans. It also opened more Vet Care clinics and expanded its Chewy+ tier, which provides free shipping, 5% rewards on most purchases, exclusive offers, and other benefits for $79 per year. In the third quarter of 2025, Chewy generated 83.9% of its net sales from Autoship customers, up from 79.2% in fiscal 2024. It hasn't disclosed its total number of Chewy+ subscribers yet. When Chewy posts its fourth-quarter earnings, investors should see if those metrics keep improving. They should also see if its adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) margin -- which has expanded over the past four years -- continues to rise as it cuts costs while growing net sales per customer. If it checks all those boxes, its business could be stabilizing -- even if its high-growth days are over. (CARD) Should you buy Chewy's stock before March 25? For 2025, analysts expect Chewy's revenue and adjusted EBITDA to rise 6% and 25%, respectively. For 2026, they expect its revenue and adjusted EBITDA to grow 7% and 24%, respectively, as it continues to expand its ecosystem of prisoner-taking services. With an enterprise value of $8.9 billion, Chewy looks undervalued at just 9 times next year's adjusted EBITDA. Therefore, if you expect Chewy's core metrics to continue improving in the fourth quarter, then it might be a great time to accumulate its out-of-favor stock.Read NextMar 16, 2026 •By Will HealyGot $2,000? 2 Top Growth Stocks to Buy That Could Double Your Money.Mar 16, 2026 •By Lawrence Rothman, CFAChewy Is Down 23% in 2026. Is This a Once-in-a-Lifetime Buying Opportunity?Mar 15, 2026 •By Geoffrey Seiler1 Growth Stock Down Nearly 50% to Buy Right NowMar 12, 2026 •By James BrumleyThe Best Stocks to Buy With $1,000 Right NowMar 7, 2026 •By Adria CiminoCould Buying Chewy Today Set You Up for Life?Mar 3, 2026 •By Will HealyIs Chewy Stock Going to $100?About the AuthorLeo Sun is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst who has worked with the company since 2013, covering technology, consumer goods, industrial, and financial sectors. He became a self-made millionaire by age 40 through long-term investing, crediting lessons from Warren Buffett and Peter Lynch. Leo is a regular guest on CNBC Asia providing stock analysis on Chinese technology companies, including Tencent, Baidu, and Alibaba. He previously wrote for InvestorGuide and holds a bachelor’s degree in English from the University of Texas at Austin.TMFSunLionX@TMFSunLionStocks MentionedChewyNYSE: CHWY$23.62(+1.07%)+$0.25AmazonNASDAQ: AMZN$210.15(+2.33%)+$4.78*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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