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U.S. says Tehran would be ‘very wise’ to make a deal as Russia, Iran hold naval drills

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The U.S. warned Iran to accept a nuclear deal, hinting at potential military strikes as soon as this weekend after Vice President JD Vance declared Tehran failed to meet core demands during Geneva talks. White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt cited last June’s "Operation Midnight Hammer"—U.S. stealth bomber strikes on three Iranian nuclear sites—as proof of military readiness, though diplomacy remains the "first option." Military tensions escalated as the U.S. reinforced regional air power while Iran conducted Strait of Hormuz drills and announced joint naval exercises with Russia in the Sea of Oman. Analysts call the situation "extremely dangerous," with rapid U.S. troop buildups raising conflict risks as Iran partially closed the Strait of Hormuz, disrupting 31% of global seaborne oil flows. Oil prices surged 4% amid the crisis, with Brent crude hitting $70.81 as markets reacted to potential supply disruptions in the critical waterway.
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In this articleThe Trump administration has warned it would be "very wise" for Iran to make a deal, amid reports the White House is considering fresh military action against Tehran as soon as this weekend. It comes shortly after Vice President JD Vance accused Iran of failing to address core U.S. demands during nuclear talks in Switzerland this week. Iran's foreign minister previously reported progress in the talks, saying the two countries had reached an understanding over the "guiding principles" for the negotiations.Speaking at a news briefing Wednesday, White House Press Secretary Karoline Leavitt said there were "many reasons and arguments that once could make for a strike against Iran," noting that the two countries remain "very far apart" on some issues.The U.S. president had a "very successful" operation last June, Leavitt said, when U.S. stealth bombers struck three Iranian nuclear facilities as part of "Operation Midnight Hammer.""The president has always been very clear though with respect to Iran or any country around the world, diplomacy is always his first option. And Iran would be very wise to make a deal with President Trump and this administration," Leavitt said.

The White House has said it still hopes to reach a diplomatic resolution over Tehran's nuclear program, although U.S. media has reported that the military could be prepared to strike Iran as early as the weekend. Both the U.S. and Iran have increased military activity in the oil-producing Middle East region in recent weeks.The U.S., for its part, has built up a significant presence of air and naval assets, while Iran has conducted military drills in the strategically vital Strait of Hormuz and announced joint naval drills with Russia in the Sea of Oman.Laura James, Middle East senior analyst at Oxford Analytica, described the current situation as "extremely dangerous," with the U.S. and Iran "certainly closer" to an outright conflict than last week."The thing that is now a particular concern over the past 24 hours is the very rapid pace at which the United States is reinforcing its air power in the region. That, of course, can still be signalling and pressure for a particular diplomatic outcome," James told CNBC's "Access Middle East" on Thursday."But as more and more planes comes in and more and more equipment comes in, that signalling gets more and more expensive. And therefore, the payoff you want for it in diplomatic terms has to be larger — and there is simply no sign Tehran can offer the absolute minimum that Washington is likely to demand," she added. Energy market participants have been closely watching the outcome of the U.S.-Iran talks in Geneva, particularly as it relates to the Strait of Hormuz, a major international waterway that Iran partially closed on Tuesday citing "security precautions." Located in the gulf between Oman and Iran, the Strait of Hormuz is recognized as one of the world's most important oil choke points.About 13 million barrels per day of crude oil transited the Strait of Hormuz in 2025, accounting for roughly 31% of global seaborne crude flows, data provided by market intelligence firm Kpler showed. Oil prices were higher on Thursday morning, extending gains after settling up more than 4% in the previous session. International benchmark Brent crude futures with April delivery rose 0.7% to $70.81 per barrel, while U.S.

West Texas Intermediate futures with March delivery stood 0.6% higher at $65.58.— CNBC's Lee Ying Shan contributed to this report.Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you.Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inboxGet this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services.© 2026 Versant Media, LLC.

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