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Risk Premia Have to 'Go Up Further,' BofA's Raedler Says

Bloomberg
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A Bank of America strategist warns current risk premia—at 20-year lows—are "inappropriate" amid escalating geopolitical tensions, signaling potential market instability ahead. Weakness in the US labor market and mounting credit pressures further justify higher risk premia, according to the analysis, suggesting investors may be underpricing systemic risks. Banks, semiconductors, and mining sectors face heightened vulnerability if risk premia rise, with benchmarks likely to reflect increased downward pressure under such conditions. The remarks were made during a March 2026 Bloomberg Television interview, emphasizing the urgency for investors to reassess equity valuations in volatile macroeconomic environments. The warning underscores broader concerns about misaligned market expectations, particularly in sectors sensitive to credit conditions and global supply chain disruptions.
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Sebastian Raedler, head of European equity strategy at Bank of America, says risk premia at a 20-year low are "not appropriate" given geopolitical tensions, a weak US labor market and pressures in the credit space. Should risk premia go up further, banks, semiconductors and miners will come "under more pressure on the benchmark." He speaks on Bloomberg Television. (Source: Bloomberg)

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