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Rexford: Finding A Good Valuation For Very Little Or No Growth

Seeking Alpha
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The industrial REIT now trades at a 5.36% yield and a historically low valuation, reflecting sharply reduced growth expectations amid broader sector struggles. Annual AFFO growth is projected at just 1.66% through 2028, with recent earnings confirming stagnant expansion and management forecasting a core FFO decline. Capital allocation raises concerns, as the company funds share buybacks via asset sales, suggesting limited reinvestment opportunities and potential portfolio contraction. Analysts assign a "hold" rating with a $25/share target, citing minimal upside, weak growth prospects, and insufficient risk-reward alignment. The broader REIT sector faces similar valuation pressures, with industrial and other sub-sectors grappling with structural growth challenges.
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Wolf ReportInvesting Group LeaderFollow5ShareSavePlay(13min)CommentsSummaryRexford Industrial Realty now trades at a 5.36% yield and a historically low valuation, reflecting rebased growth expectations.REXR's AFFO growth is forecast at just 1.66% annually through 2028, with recent results confirming anemic expansion and management guiding for a core FFO decline.Capital allocation is a concern, as REXR is funding share buybacks with asset sales, signaling limited reinvestment opportunities and potential business shrinkage.I assign a 'hold' rating and a $25/share price target, citing limited upside, weak growth, and risk/reward that fails to clear my hurdle rate.Looking for a helping hand in the market? Members of Wolf of Value get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. Learn More » Porter Anderson/iStock via Getty Images A lot of REITs have gotten into troubled valuations of late due to what I would consider to be issues related to growth problems. Previously, many of these industrial REITs (as well as other sub-sectors ofThis article was written byWolf Report35.06K FollowersFollowWolf Report is a senior analyst and private portfolio manager with over 10 years of generating value ideas in European and North American markets.He covers the markets of Scandinavia, Germany, France, UK, Italy, Spain, Portugal and Eastern Europe in search of reasonably valued stock ideas.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of O either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from Seeking Alpha). I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. While this article may sound like financial advice, please observe that the author is not a CFA or in any way licensed to give financial advice. It may be structured as such, but it is not financial advice. Investors are required and expected to do their own due diligence and research prior to any investment. Short-term trading, options trading/investment and futures trading are potentially extremely risky investment styles. They generally are not appropriate for someone with limited capital, limited investment experience, or a lack of understanding for the necessary risk tolerance involved. I own the European/Scandinavian tickers (not the ADRs) of all European/Scandinavian companies listed in my articles. I own the Canadian tickers of all Canadian stocks I write about. Please note that investing in European/Non-US stocks comes with withholding tax risks specific to the company's domicile as well as your personal situation. Investors should always consult a tax professional as to the overall impact of dividend withholding taxes and ways to mitigate these.Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.

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