Back to News
investment

Prediction: XRP (Ripple) Will Be Worth This Much in 5 Years

newsfeedback@fool.com (Anthony Di Pizio)
Loading...
5 min read
0 likes
⚡ Quantum Brief
XRP’s price collapsed 61% from its 2025 peak of $3.65, trading at $1.40 as of February 2026, mirroring past volatility after its 2018 crash where it lost 90% of its value within months. Ripple’s payment network enables instant, low-cost cross-border transactions, but XRP’s role as a bridge currency isn’t mandatory—banks can use fiat or Ripple’s new stablecoin (RLUSD), reducing XRP’s demand. Structural flaws undermine XRP’s growth: banks avoid holding volatile assets, and Ripple’s 2024 stablecoin launch directly competes with XRP, further eroding its utility and speculative appeal. Analysts predict XRP could plummet to $0.30–$0.50 in five years, citing historical patterns of prolonged declines post-peak and lack of organic demand beyond speculative trading. Unlike many cryptocurrencies, XRP has a real-world use case—but its dependence on market sentiment and competition from Ripple’s own products limit its long-term viability.
AI Audio Summary
0:00 / 0:00
Click to play
Untitled design (37).png
Quantum News · Media Library

By Anthony Di Pizio – Feb 25, 2026 at 4:22AM ESTKey PointsRipple Payments was designed to facilitate instant, low-cost money transfers between global banks. XRP is the primary bridge currency for the Ripple Payments network, where it helps standardize transactions. Despite having a legitimate use case, XRP faces several structural issues that could limit its upside potential. We’re bullish on these 10 stocks ›CRYPTO: XRPXRPMarket Cap$85BToday's Changeangle-down(4.80%) $0.06Current Price$1.40Price as of February 25, 2026 at 7:43 AM ETXRP set a new record high last year, but it has since lost more than half of its value.Many cryptocurrencies are still struggling to find a use case in the real world, which is affecting their ability to create long-term value for investors. XRP (XRP +4.80%) doesn't have that problem, because it was designed as a bridge currency for the Ripple Payments network, which allows banks to execute instant, low-cost money transfers across borders. XRP became one of only a few cryptocurrencies to set a new record high last year when it soared to $3.65 per token in July. However, it has plunged by 61% since then amid the broader sell-off in the crypto industry. Although XRP's use-case should, in theory, drive long-term upside, it's facing some structural issues that might be difficult to overcome. If history is any guide, these headwinds might fuel even more downside instead. Here's where I predict the token will be trading in five years from now. Image source: Getty Images. Ripple Payments is solving a real problem, but is XRP necessary? Sending a payment overseas through a bank can take several days, and often comes with substantial fees. This is because not every institution uses the same payment infrastructure -- some have adopted the Society for Worldwide Interbank Financial Telecommunication (SWIFT) network, whereas others haven't, so many transfers have to go through an intermediary (middleman) which takes time and costs money. Ripple Payments was built to facilitate direct communication between banks regardless of their existing infrastructure, allowing them to settle transactions with one another directly. This means transfers are practically instantaneous, with minimal fees. Ripple launched XRP as a bridge currency for the network. Rather than sending U.S. dollars to a European bank, an American bank can send XRP instead, eliminating expensive foreign exchange fees. In fact, a typical XRP transfer costs just 0.00001 tokens, which is a fraction of $0.01. ExpandCRYPTO: XRPXRPToday's Change(4.80%) $0.06Current Price$1.40Key Data PointsMarket Cap$85BDay's Range$1.32 - $1.4052wk Range$1.14 - $3.65Volume2.9B But there are a few issues. First, using XRP isn't mandatory, because Ripple Payments also facilitates fiat currency transfers. In essence, this means the value of XRP won't necessarily increase in line with increased network activity. That's a key reason why it tends to decline sharply during sell-offs in the broader crypto markets -- its performance is still very much determined by speculative investors. Second, banks typically don't hold onto bridge currencies, because they aren't useful outside of making transfers. In my earlier example, the American bank would be a buyer of XRP, but the European bank would be an equal seller when it converts its tokens into euros. On that note, XRP is extremely volatile, so holding onto a large number of tokens can expose banks to significant losses. That is partly why Ripple launched its own stablecoin called Ripple USD (RLUSD 0.02%) in late 2024, which brings me to the third issue. Stablecoins offer practically zero volatility, so Ripple USD is a great choice for banks that want to use a bridge currency in their transactions, and it could, therefore, put a major dent in the demand for XRP. Here's where XRP could be in five years XRP is trading at $1.42 per token as I write this, which is 61% below its all-time high from last year. Prior to that, the last time XRP set a record high was in 2018 -- but it proceeded to lose more than 90% of its value within a matter of months, and it went on to trade below $1 for the bulk of the next five years. I think a similar outcome is in progress right now.

Since Ripple Payments isn't a consistent source of XRP demand, the token will have to either find a new use case, or it will continue succumbing to the whims of speculative investors who typically sell aggressively when uncertainty arises in the broader crypto markets. This definitely isn't a recipe for long-term value creation. If we simply follow history, I think XRP will be trading at somewhere between $0.30 and $0.50 five years from now. That assumes its 2025 high remains the peak for the foreseeable future, and that the decline reaches a similar magnitude to the 2018 decline with no meaningful recovery thereafter.Read NextFeb 25, 2026 •By Emma NewberyWhere Will XRP (Ripple) Go Next?Feb 24, 2026 •By Alex CarchidiWant to Make $15,000 With XRP or Bitcoin? Do These 3 Things.Feb 24, 2026 •By Alex CarchidiBetter Cryptocurrency to Buy With $4,000 and Hold for a Decade: XRP vs. SolanaFeb 23, 2026 •By Alex CarchidiBetter Cryptocurrency to Buy Right Now With $2,000 and Hold for 5 Years: XRP vs. BitcoinFeb 23, 2026 •By Chris MacDonaldWhy Did XRP See a 4% Drop This Weekend?Feb 23, 2026 •By Alex CarchidiHere's Why Q2 Could Be Huge For XRP InvestorsAbout the AuthorAnthony Di Pizio is a contributing Motley Fool technology analyst covering artificial intelligence, cloud computing, autonomous vehicles, and enterprise software. Previously, Anthony was a licensed fund manager, stock broker, and corporate advisor. He holds a bachelor’s degree in commerce and economics from Macquarie University in Sydney, Australia, along with ASIC RG146 certifications in financial securities and derivatives.TMFAnthonyADSCX@AnthonyADSCStocks MentionedXRPCRYPTO: XRP$1.40 (+4.80%) $+0.06Ripple USDCRYPTO: RLUSD$1.00 (0.02%) $0.00*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Read Original

Tags

telecommunications
government-funding

Source Information

Source: The Motley Fool

Discussion

0 professional contributions

Sign in to join this professional discussion.

Be the first to add a constructive contribution.