Prediction: This Will Be Palantir's Stock Price in 2030

Understand this faster with AI
By Keithen Drury – Mar 29, 2026 at 5:19PM ESTKey PointsPalantir's software is being rapidly adopted by businesses and government agencies.The stock trades at an expensive premium. Palantir (PLTR 3.05%) has been one of the market's top performers since the AI investment trend began in 2023. If you purchased $10,000 worth of its shares at the start of 2023 and held on, that stake would now be worth nearly $223,000. However, as of the close on Friday, the stock had also declined by 31% from the high it set in November. The question is, is this decline a healthy correction or a sign of things to come? Image source: The Motley Fool. Palantir has become a go-to partner in deploying AI Palantir's association with AI harkens back to its initial software, which used AI to process data quickly and provide decision-makers with insights on what they should do next. This software originally was designed for use by intelligence agencies and the military, but eventually, the company expanded into the commercial side of things. Over the years, Palantir has adopted and integrated generative AI into its products, and its platforms have become some of the most common tools that governments and companies alike are using to harness the power of AI. ExpandNASDAQ: PLTRPalantir TechnologiesToday's Change(-3.05%) $-4.50Current Price$143.06Key Data PointsMarket Cap$342BDay's Range$141.58 - $145.9652wk Range$66.12 - $207.52Volume1.4MAvg Vol49MGross Margin82.37% This has led to unbelievable sales growth. In Q4, Palantir's revenue increased 70% year over year to $1.4 billion. Wall Street is bullish on its outlook too, projecting 62% growth in 2026 and 43% growth in 2027. It's an incredible business that's growing rapidly, but there's one issue: All of that expected growth is already priced into Palantir's stock. PLTR PE Ratio data by YCharts. Right now, Palantir trades for nearly 250 times trailing earnings and 117 times forward earnings. That's an issue, and it begs the question: How much will a company like Palantir be worth when it's fully mature? While some software stocks are struggling now, in the past, it was not uncommon to see some trading at 50 times earnings, which was still an expensive valuation. For Palantir to be trading at 50 times earnings, it would have to grow its bottom line by 489% while its stock price went sideways. So, while Palantir's revenue growth outlook over the next few years may sound impressive, it will need to do all that and more just to justify its current stock price. Where will Palantir's stock be by 2030? Well, if its revenue grows by 62% next year, 43% in 2027, and 40% for the three years after that, that would be 536% growth. Assuming that its earnings growth parallels its revenue growth, that would bring it to a level nearly equal to what it would require for the stock to trade at about 50 times earnings. With all that in mind, I think that in five years, Palantir's stock price will be nearly what it is today. That would not be a great return on investment for shareholders. Read NextMar 29, 2026 •By Adria CiminoThe Market Is Punishing This AI Stock.
History Says That's a Mistake.Mar 27, 2026 •By Bram BerkowitzIs Palantir Stock Going to $200? Here's What the Data SaysMar 26, 2026 •By Adam SpataccoThe House Always Wins: How Palantir Is Teaming Up With Polymarket to Prevent Fraud on the Prediction Market PlatformMar 25, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerIs Palantir Stock a Long-Term Buy?Mar 25, 2026 •By Danny Vena, CPAPalantir Named as Part of Trump Administration's $185 Billion Golden Dome ProjectMar 25, 2026 •By Leo Sun3 Weaknesses to Weigh Before You Buy Palantir (PLTR) StockAbout the AuthorKeithen Drury is a contributing Motley Fool technology analyst covering AI, semiconductors, cybersecurity, and SaaS stocks. In addition to The Motley Fool, Keithen is a mechanical engineer and has held roles at Honeywell and smaller industrial companies like Brand Hydraulics and Lincoln Industries. He holds a bachelor’s degree in mechanical engineering from Dordt University.TMFTripleOptionStocks MentionedPalantir TechnologiesNASDAQ: PLTR$143.07(-3.05%)-$4.50*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.
Tags
Source Information
Discussion
0 professional contributions
Sign in to join this professional discussion.
Be the first to add a constructive contribution.
