Back to News
investment

Prediction: This Stock Could Be the Biggest Winner From Alphabet's Spending Spree

newsfeedback@fool.com (Geoffrey Seiler)
Loading...
4 min read
0 likes
⚡ Quantum Brief
Alphabet’s 2026 capex budget surged to $175–$185 billion, nearly doubling 2025’s $91 billion, with 60% allocated to servers—primarily semiconductor chips—and 40% to data centers and networking infrastructure. Broadcom stands as the primary beneficiary, co-developing Alphabet’s TPUs (tensor processing units) for AI workloads, handling IP and foundry relationships while booking ~$13,000 per chip—far cheaper than Nvidia’s GPUs. The company also dominates networking hardware, supplying Tomahawk Ethernet switches and fiber optics for AI data centers, which carry higher margins than its custom ASIC business. Citigroup estimates Alphabet contributed ~$13 billion to Broadcom’s 2025 ASIC revenue (17% of Alphabet’s capex), with TPU demand potentially doubling or tripling in 2026. A $21 billion Anthropic TPU order further boosts Broadcom’s growth, positioning it as a leader in AI infrastructure alongside expanding custom-chip partnerships with OpenAI and others.
AI Audio Summary
0:00 / 0:00
Click to play
Untitled design (37).png
Quantum News · Media Library

By Geoffrey Seiler – Feb 10, 2026 at 7:16PM ESTKey PointsBroadcom should be a huge beneficiary of Alphabet's increased capex spending.The company should see both its TPU and networking revenue climb.We’re bullish on these 10 stocks ›NASDAQ: AVGOBroadcomMarket Cap$1.6TToday's Changeangle-down(-1.01%) $3.46Current Price$340.48Price as of February 10, 2026 at 3:59 PM ETBroadcom could be the biggest winner from Alphabet's surge in capex spending.Alphabet (GOOGL 1.77%) (GOOG 1.79%) shocked investors when the company set a capital expenditure (capex) budget of between $175 billion and $185 billion for 2026 when it reported its fourth-quarter results. That's a massive increase from the $91 billion in capex it spent in 2025. About 60% of its spending will go toward servers and about 40% toward longer-duration assets such as data centers and networking equipment. Within servers, much of that spending will go toward semiconductor chips. Meanwhile, networking equipment, such as Ethernet switches and fiber optic cables, along with buildings and power substations, are included in long-duration assets. The biggest winner from this spending will likely be Broadcom (AVGO 1.01%). Image source: Getty Images. Benefiting from custom chips and networking Broadcom is the co-developer of Alphabet's tensor processing units (TPUs), which Alphabet uses to run its internal AI workloads. While Alphabet provides the designs, Broadcom supplies the critical intellectual property and manages the relationship with foundries, such as Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, to turn the designs into physical chips that can be manufactured at scale. Broadcom, meanwhile, books the revenue for each chip produced. This is estimated to be around $13,000. While a lot, it's less than half the cost of one of Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs). Meanwhile, Broadcom is also a leader in networking as well.

Its Tomahawk Ethernet switches are the industry standard for large-scale data centers. It also provides high-performance fiber optical interconnect solutions and other components that AI data centers need. Broadcom's networking portfolio also carries higher gross margins than its custom AI application-specific integrated circuit (ASIC) chip business. Based on Citigroup estimates, Alphabet accounted for nearly $13 billion in Broadcom's ASIC revenue in fiscal 2025. That would have accounted for nearly 17% of Alphabet's capex over the same period (note they have mismatched fiscal years). Bump up the percentage given Alphabet's push toward TPUs over GPUs, and its TPU revenue from Alphabet could potentially double or even triple next year. It should also see a huge surge in networking revenue as well. ExpandNASDAQ: AVGOBroadcomToday's Change(-1.01%) $-3.46Current Price$340.48Key Data PointsMarket Cap$1.6TDay's Range$339.86 - $348.0052wk Range$138.10 - $414.61Volume772KAvg Vol31MGross Margin64.71%Dividend Yield0.70% Meanwhile, Broadcom also received a $21 billion order from Anthropic for TPUs to be used for its AI workloads with Google Cloud to be delivered this year. With Broadcom producing revenue of just $63.9 billion in fiscal 2026, its total revenue could double this fiscal year. With more customers also turning to Broadcom to help them design their own custom chips, including OpenAI, and given the success of Alphabet's TPUs, Broadcom has one of the best growth runways in the AI infrastructure space. Meanwhile, my prediction is that Broadcom's stock will be the biggest winner from Alphabet's spending spree.Read NextFeb 10, 2026 •By Danny Vena, CPA1 Unstoppable Stock To Buy Before It Joins Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, and Microsoft in the $3 Trillion ClubFeb 8, 2026 •By Keithen DruryThis Under-the-Radar Stock Could Be a Market Leader by 2027Feb 7, 2026 •By Keithen DruryPrediction: This Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stock Could Become a Market Leader in 2026Feb 6, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerIf I Could Only Buy and Hold a Single Stock, This Would Be It.Feb 5, 2026 •By Geoffrey Seiler2 Monster Stocks to Hold for the Next 5 YearsFeb 4, 2026 •By Keithen DruryPrediction: Broadcom Will Be a $3 Trillion Company by the End of 2027About the AuthorGeoffrey Seiler is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst covering technology, consumer goods, healthcare, energy, and materials stocks. Prior to The Motley Fool, Geoffrey was a senior equity analyst at Raging Capital Management, a $600 million long-short hedge fund. He holds a bachelor’s degree in history from Haverford College.TMFFindProfitStocks MentionedBroadcomNASDAQ: AVGO$340.48 (1.01%) $3.46AlphabetNASDAQ: GOOGL$318.58 (1.77%) $5.74AlphabetNASDAQ: GOOG$318.59 (1.79%) $5.81*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

Read Original

Source Information

Source: The Motley Fool

Discussion

0 professional contributions

Sign in to join this professional discussion.

Be the first to add a constructive contribution.