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Oracle Is Soaring After Blowout Earnings. 3 Reasons to Buy the Stock (and 1 Reason to Avoid It).

newsfeedback@fool.com (Daniel Foelber)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Oracle’s stock surged 9.2% after Q3 2026 earnings revealed 44% year-over-year cloud revenue growth, now comprising over half its total revenue, driven by AI infrastructure demand. The company projects $67B revenue for fiscal 2026 and $90B for 2027—a 34.3% jump—backed by a $553B backlog, with major clients like OpenAI fueling long-term contracts. Cash burn is declining as Oracle shifts to high-margin contracts, achieving 32% gross margins (above guidance) and adopting bring-your-own-hardware models for $29B in new Q3 deals. Despite growth, Oracle’s debt soared 41.6% year-over-year to $124.72B, delaying free cash flow positivity and offsetting near-term profitability gains from its AI cloud expansion. Trading at a forward P/E of 21.7—near the S&P 500 average—Oracle offers value amid sell-offs, though its leveraged balance sheet remains a critical risk for investors.
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By Daniel Foelber – Mar 17, 2026 at 5:15AM ESTKey PointsOracle landed more contracts and guided for massive growth in its upcoming fiscal year.The company understands that its cash burn is unsustainable.Oracle’s balance sheet has gone from bad to worse.Oracle's (ORCL +0.50%) stock price jumped 9.2% on March 11 in response to its third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings and updated guidance. But the stock is still down big year to date and is over 50% off its all-time high from last September. Here are three reasons why Oracle could be worth buying now, and one major reason to avoid the growth stock. Image source: Getty Images. Reasons to buy Oracle stock 1. The company is reporting accelerating growth Oracle's Q3 cloud revenue jumped 44% year over year and now makes up over half of total revenue. This shows how Oracle is transitioning from a legacy application software business to an infrastructure cloud giant for artificial intelligence (AI). Oracle expects $67 billion in revenue for fiscal 2026 and $90 billion in fiscal 2027 -- a 34.3% increase. Oracle's revenue will continue to accelerate as it converts its remaining performance obligations (RPO) backlog into realized revenue. Oracle exited its latest quarter with a staggering $553 billion in RPO, much of which is tied to a handful of key customers like OpenAI. ExpandNYSE: ORCLOracleToday's Change(0.50%) $0.77Current Price$155.88Key Data PointsMarket Cap$449BDay's Range$154.52 - $158.7252wk Range$118.86 - $345.72Volume864KAvg Vol28MGross Margin64.30%Dividend Yield1.28% 2. Oracle is reducing its cash burn Oracle plans to reduce its cash burn as it converts its high-margin backlog into realized contracts. The AI capacity Oracle delivered in its latest quarter achieved 32% gross margins -- above its 30% guidance. So Oracle is charting a path to profitability as it works through its backlog. It is also using a different pricing model for new contracts that involves bring-your-own-hardware and upfront customer payments. On its March 10 earnings call, Oracle said that it used this model for $29 billion in new contracts it landed in its latest quarter. 3. Oracle is a great value The sell-off in Oracle, paired with growing earnings, has pushed its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio down to 29 and its forward P/E to just 21.7 -- which is almost identical to the forward P/E of the S&P 500 at the time of this writing. Oracle isn't the only major hyperscaler or tech-focused company that is cheap based on its projected growth. Nvidia and Meta Platforms recently saw their forward P/E ratios dip below the S&P 500 as analysts continue to price in solid growth relative to the index. Patient investors who believe Oracle's growth is sustainable can buy the stock at a compelling valuation. The main reason to avoid Oracle stock Oracle is winning major cloud contracts, growing its backlog while realizing AI cloud revenue, and charting a path to reducing its cash burn, and the stock is inexpensive. But Oracle's investment thesis has a glaring problem -- debt. In its earnings release, Oracle said it has raised $30 billion through a combination of investment-grade bonds and mandatory convertible preferred stock. However, it has yet to raise the $20 billion of the at-the-market equity portion of its $50 billion program announced in February. Oracle finished its latest quarter with $124.72 billion in notes payable and other non-current borrowings (which is basically long-term debt). That's up 41.6% year over year. The problem with carrying a lot of debt is that it will soak up the bulk of Oracle's initial earnings growth. So Oracle is likely several years away from being free cash flow positive and financially healthy.Read NextMar 16, 2026 •By Bram BerkowitzThe $110 Billion Catalyst That Makes It More Likely Oracle Will Hit Its 700% Cloud Infrastructure Revenue Growth Guidance by 2030Mar 16, 2026 •By John BallardOracle Just Posted Its Best Quarter in 15 Years -- Here's Why 2026 Could Get Even BetterMar 15, 2026 •By Catie HoganOracle Has Fallen 18% in 2026. Wall Street's Top Pick Just Set a $210 Price Target.Mar 14, 2026 •By Bram Berkowitz2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks With Average Upside of 47% and 54%, According to Wall StreetMar 14, 2026 •By Anthony Di PizioCould Oracle Become America's Next $1 Trillion Technology Stock?Mar 13, 2026 •By Geoffrey SeilerOracle Shares Jump on Strong Outlook.

Is It Time to Buy the Stock?About the AuthorDaniel Foelber is a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst with extensive experience covering the broader stock market and publicly traded companies across energy, industrials, utilities, materials, technology, communications, consumer discretionary, consumer staples, and financial stocks. Daniel looks for industry leaders offering compelling growth, value, or dividends to generate passive income. He has also written for energy trade publications and helped build oil and gas training modules. He holds a bachelor’s degree in finance and a certificate in personal financial planning from the University of Houston. He believes the best investors are those who focus on fundamentals, remain steady through volatility, and filter out market noise.TMFpalomino2Stocks MentionedOracleNYSE: ORCL$155.97(+0.55%)+$0.86*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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