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A Once-in-a-Decade Investment Opportunity: 1 Magnificent Artificial Intelligence (AI) Software Stock to Buy Hand Over Fist Right Now

newsfeedback@fool.com (Adam Spatacco)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
Amazon will invest $200 billion in AI infrastructure in 2026, far exceeding Wall Street’s $150 billion forecast, to expand GPU procurement, custom silicon, and data centers. AWS revenue hit $35.6 billion in Q4 2025, marking 24% year-over-year growth—the fastest in 13 quarters—driven by AI demand, with a $244 billion backlog up 40% annually. Amazon’s partnership with Anthropic integrates Claude AI models into AWS Bedrock, leveraging custom Trainium and Inferentia chips to build a vertically integrated, cost-efficient AI ecosystem. Despite near-term free cash flow pressure from heavy spending, AWS’s high-margin (30%+ operating margins) resilience offsets e-commerce volatility, fueling long-term reinvestment capacity. The stock’s 14% 2026 dip presents a buying opportunity, with discounted P/E ratios amid AI-driven growth, positioning Amazon as a hyperscaler poised to dominate enterprise AI workflows.
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By Adam Spatacco – Feb 16, 2026 at 11:04PM ESTKey PointsAmazon plans to spend $200 billion on artificial intelligence (AI) infrastructure in 2026.While rising capital expenditures may decelerate Amazon's free cash flow in the near term, the company's long-term gains look compelling. Amazon is seeing robust growth in its cloud segment for the first time in over three years thanks to advances in AI.We’re bullish on these 10 stocks ›NASDAQ: AMZNAmazonMarket Cap$2.1TToday's Changeangle-down(-0.39%) $0.78Current Price$198.82Price as of February 13, 2026 at 3:59 PM ETSoftware stocks are cratering over fears of rising capital expenditures and artificial intelligence (AI) bubble concerns.It's been an odd year for Amazon (AMZN 0.39%) investors so far. In early January, the stock popped roughly 7% to $247 per share -- just inches away from notching a new all-time high. But over the last month, Amazon stock has been sliding -- now down about 14% on the year as software stocks continue to plummet. Let's dig into the driving forces behind Amazon's sell-off. From there, I'll detail why smart investors view this dip as a generational buying opportunity. Image source: Amazon. Why Amazon's $200 billion AI budget is worth it Prior to Amazon's fourth-quarter earnings call on Feb. 5, Wall Street was expecting management to guide for capital expenditures of about $150 billion for this year. Spoiler alert: Amazon plans to spend $200 billion, far more than investors were expecting. As Amazon continues to pour money into procuring GPUs from Nvidia, designing its own custom silicon, and building AI data centers, the company's free cash flow generation will decelerate. The combination of accelerating infrastructure spend and diminishing cash flow is what's causing investors to dump Amazon stock right now. Here's what investors are missing: During the fourth quarter, Amazon Web Services (AWS) generated $35.6 billion in revenue -- representing 24% growth year over year. This is the highest growth from AWS in 13 quarters, and data suggests the ride is just getting started. Backlog from AWS sits at a whopping $244 billion -- up 40% year over year and an impressive 22% from the third quarter. Importantly, AWS is a high-margin business for Amazon. While the company's profitability in the e-commerce division can experience pronounced swings due to seasonality and fluctuations in consumer buying patterns, AWS remains more resilient -- often generating operating margins in the mid-30% range. The consistency of AWS's profit margins is what fuels robust cash flow for Amazon -- providing the company with a high degree of financial flexibility to reinvest in the business, as it's doing now. ExpandNASDAQ: AMZNAmazonToday's Change(-0.39%) $-0.78Current Price$198.82Key Data PointsMarket Cap$2.1TDay's Range$197.28 - $201.1652wk Range$161.38 - $258.60Volume3.1MAvg Vol47MGross Margin50.29% Beyond LLMs: How Anthropic is turning Amazon into an AI ecosystem One of the biggest contributors to the AWS renaissance is Amazon's relationship with Anthropic. Anthropic's Claude model is heavily integrated throughout the AWS ecosystem, particularly in a product called Amazon Bedrock. Moreover, Anthropic is also leveraging Amazon's custom Trainium and Inferentia chips. By partnering closely with a leading enterprise AI system and designing its own infrastructure, Amazon is quietly building a cost-efficient, vertically integrated AI stack. This strategy helps Amazon move beyond the world of basic chatbots and win over sophisticated, data-heavy enterprise workflows. Is Amazon's pullback a buying opportunity? I think most investors are overlooking the fact that Amazon is already bearing fruit from its AI-related investments. In my eyes, it makes complete sense for the company to double down and increase its infrastructure spend. While there may be a lag between the initial capital outlay and a meaningful return on investment for these buildouts, the evidence is already clear: AWS is becoming more than a capacity service, and the combination of Anthropic and custom silicon serves as strategic assets for Amazon's AI ecosystem. AMZN PE Ratio data by YCharts Nevertheless, the software bear market has brought Amazon stock to its cheapest levels during the entire AI revolution based on price-to-earnings (P/E) trends. I think Amazon is a no-brainer buy at this price point. The stock is heavily discounted relative to the company's upside potential, making it a compelling opportunity to buy and hold as the AI movement continues to benefit the hyperscaler.Read NextFeb 16, 2026 •By Marc GubertiThe Best Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy With $1,000 Right NowFeb 16, 2026 •By Billy DubersteinAWS Chief Matt Garman Just Delivered Wonderful News for Amazon ShareholdersFeb 16, 2026 •By Trevor JennewineBillionaire Bill Ackman Buys 2 Brilliant Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks -- They Could Soar in the Next Year, According to Wall StreetFeb 15, 2026 •By Brett SchaferIs Wall Street Wrong About Amazon Stock?Feb 15, 2026 •By Adam LevyThis Key Metric for Amazon and Alphabet Will Take a Huge Hit in 2026 Thanks to Massive AI Spending. Here's What It Means for Investors.Feb 15, 2026 •By Keithen DruryIs Amazon Stock Going to $260?About the AuthorAdam Spatacco is a contributing Motley Fool technology analyst covering artificial intelligence, robotics, autonomous driving, e-commerce, and cybersecurity stocks. Previously, Adam was an investment banking analyst specializing in mergers and acquisitions, as well as debt and equity capital raises, for software companies. He later worked in corporate development at venture-backed technology start-ups. He holds a bachelor’s degree in business administration with a concentration in finance from the University of Richmond.TMFmoneyballX@moneyballinvestStocks MentionedAmazonNASDAQ: AMZN$198.82 (0.39%) $0.78*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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