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Oil rises with Brent crossing $100 a barrel again as Middle East tensions keep traders on edge

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Oil prices rebounded Tuesday with Brent crude rising 3% to $102.96 and WTI climbing 3.6% to $91.27 after Monday’s 11% plunge, reflecting volatility tied to Middle East tensions. Former U.S. President Trump claimed "productive" Iran talks and a five-day pause on strikes, triggering Monday’s oil sell-off and equity gains—but Iran denied negotiations, fueling skepticism. Traders remain wary of prolonged conflict risks, with repeated attacks on Middle East energy infrastructure raising fears of production and transportation disruptions, keeping prices elevated. The Strait of Hormuz, handling 20% of global oil flows pre-war, remains restricted except for non-"enemy" vessels, per Iran, exacerbating supply chain concerns despite Tehran’s partial reopening pledge. Analysts warn even a potential deal may not lower costs to pre-conflict levels, as infrastructure damage and persistent geopolitical risks sustain upward price pressure.
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Oil prices gained in Asia trading Tuesday after clocking steep declines overnight, as traders assess developments related to the Middle East conflict.Brent crude futures for May rose over 3% to $102.96 per barrel while the West Texas Intermediate futures for May jumped 3.6% to $91.27 per barrel.The uptick follows a sharp sell-off on Monday, with Brent crude falling about 11% to around $99 per barrel on Monday after topping $112 on Friday."I AM PLEASE TO REPORT THAT THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, AND THE COUNTRY OF IRAN, HAVE HAD, OVER THE LAST TWO DAYS, VERY GOOD AND PRODUCTIVE CONVERSATIONS REGARDING A COMPLETE AND TOTAL RESOLUTION OF OUR HOSTILITIES IN THE MIDDLE EAST," Trump said Monday in a Truth Social post."I HAVE INSTRUCTED THE DEPARTMENT OF WAR TO POSTPONE ANY AND ALL MILITARY STRIKES AGAINST IRANIAN POWER PLANTS AND ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURE FOR A FIVE DAY PERIOD," Trump wrote.Trump's statement sent oil lower, while equities jumped. Still, the recovery on Tuesday suggests lingering skepticism over Trump's claims — that were also refuted by Iran. "Despite the exuberance on Wall Street, ladies and gentlemen, oil is well off its lows after Tehran denied conducting any weekend negotiations with Washington," said José Torres, senior economist at Interactive Brokers, who added that the risk of an extended war remains at the top of the mind for the market.Torres noted that repeated attacks on critical energy infrastructure in the Middle East are fueling continued concerns over potential disruptions to production and transportation."Additionally, in consideration of the vast number of attacks that have affected critical energy in the Middle East … there's nervousness that there could be capacity and transportation disruptions that keep costs higher than at the beginning of the year even if there's a deal," he wrote in a note published on Tuesday.The Strait of Hormuz was handling about 20% of global seaborne oil supplies until the war broke out, before Iran virtually stopped flows via the critical waterway. Iranian state media said Sunday that Tehran would permit safe transit through the strait, except for ships associated with its "enemies."Got a confidential news tip? We want to hear from you.Sign up for free newsletters and get more CNBC delivered to your inboxGet this delivered to your inbox, and more info about our products and services.© 2026 Versant Media, LLC.

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