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NFIB Small Business Survey: Optimism Drops To 11-Month Low

Seeking Alpha
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Small business optimism plunged to an 11-month low in April 2026, with the NFIB index dropping 3.0 points to 95.8—falling below its historical average for the first time since April 2025. Profit expectations collapsed, driving the decline: positive profit trends fell 11 points, while expectations for improved business conditions dropped 7 points, signaling deepening pessimism among owners. Uncertainty surged, with the Uncertainty Index hitting 92—far above the 68 average—as owners grappled with economic volatility and policy ambiguity. Inflation re-emerged as a top-three concern, reversing prior easing trends and adding pressure to already strained small business margins and operational costs. The sharp downturn reflects broader economic anxiety, with fewer owners planning capital outlays or hiring, hinting at potential slowdowns in investment and job growth.
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Advisor Perspectives Charts6.63K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(6min)CommentsSummaryThe NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 3.0 points to 95.8, dropping below the index's historical average for the first time since April 2025.The decline was primarily driven by a sharp 11-point drop in positive profit trends and a 7-point decline in those expecting better business conditions.The Uncertainty Index jumped to 92 (well above the average of 68), while inflation returned as a top-three concern. Luis Alvarez/DigitalVision via Getty Images By Jennifer Nash Originally published on April 15, 2026 The NFIB Small Business Optimism Index fell 3.0 points to 95.8, dropping below the index's historical average for the first time since April 2025. This was belowThis article was written byAdvisor Perspectives Charts6.63K FollowersFollowAdvisor Perspectives is a leading interactive publisher for Registered Investment Advisors. Our AP Charts & Analysis portion of our website analyzes economic and market trends.

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