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Nasdaq Leads a Rocky Risk-On Rally: Stock Market Today

David Dittman
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Major U.S. indexes closed higher Wednesday despite late-session volatility, led by the Nasdaq’s 0.8% gain as risk-on sectors rallied on strong earnings and economic data supporting the Fed’s cautious rate stance. Fed meeting minutes revealed divisions over inflation’s trajectory, with policymakers split on rate cuts as Kevin Warsh prepares to replace Powell in May, adding uncertainty ahead of Friday’s key PCE inflation report. Housing starts surged 6.2% to a five-month high in December, while industrial production rose 0.7% in January, signaling economic resilience despite mixed durable goods data and stabilizing traditional capex. Apple’s AI ambitions took center stage, with analysts predicting an “agentic Siri” powered by Google Gemini could dominate consumer AI, leveraging 2.5 billion active devices to monetize its ecosystem. The VIX retreated to 19.41, easing from recent highs, as S&P 500 revenue growth hit 9%—the fastest since Q3 2022—with tech, healthcare, and communication services leading double-digit gains.
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Nasdaq Leads a Rocky Risk-On Rally: Stock Market Today

Another worrying bout of late-session weakness couldn't take down the main equity indexes on Wednesday. When you purchase through links on our site, we may earn an affiliate commission. Here’s how it works. Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.You are now subscribedYour newsletter sign-up was successfulWant to add more newsletters?Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more delivered daily. Smart money moves start here.Get practical help to make better financial decisions in your everyday life, from spending to savings on top deals.Get today's biggest financial and investing headlines delivered to your inbox every day the U.S. stock market is open.Financial pros across the country share best practices and fresh tactics to preserve and grow your wealth.Trim your federal and state tax bills with practical tax-planning and tax-cutting strategies.Your twice-a-week guide to planning and enjoying a financially secure and richly rewarding retirementInsights for advisers, wealth managers and other financial professionals.Your twice-a-week roundup of promising stocks, funds, companies and industries you should consider, ones you should avoid, and why.Your step-by-step six-part series on how to invest for retirement, from devising a successful strategy to exactly which investments to choose. Stocks opened up and stayed up, even under late selling pressure, amid more strong earnings and incoming economic data that continues to support Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's wait-and-see approach to interest rates. Risk-on sectors led the way higher, as the Nasdaq Composite posted the biggest gain among the three main indexes.Minutes from the January Fed meeting show policymakers were divided when they voted to leave the target range for the federal funds rate unchanged last month.

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members are also split on the trajectory of inflation, with Kevin Warsh set to replace Powell in May.The Census Bureau said housing starts were up 6.2% to a five-month high in December, while building permits exceeded the Wall Street consensus estimate. Durable goods declined during the last month of 2025, but the print was better than expected. Industrial production increased by 0.7% month over month in January, as manufacturing activity accelerated.Become a smarter, better informed investor. Subscribe from just $107.88 $24.99, plus get up to 4 Special IssuesProfit and prosper with the best of expert advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and more - straight to your e-mail.Profit and prosper with the best of expert advice - straight to your e-mail."While the AI investment boom is expected to continue," Wells Fargo economists Shannon Grein and Tim Quinlan write, "recent data suggest early signs of a broader pickup, with traditional capex stabilizing and non‑high‑tech output improving."The main event on this week's economic calendar is Friday's release of the Fed's preferred inflation gauge, the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE).Looking for more timely stock market news to help gauge the health of your portfolio? Sign up for Closing Bell, our free newsletter that's delivered straight to your inbox at the close of each trading day.Meanwhile, company-level fundamentals are solid, too, especially at the top line as well as for key sectors. "At this late stage of the earnings season," FactSet analyst John Butters observes, "the (blended) revenue growth rate for the S&P 500 for Q4 is 9.0%."That would be the fastest rate since the third quarter of 2022 if it holds. And, as Butter notes, 10 of the 11 stock market sectors are reporting year-over-year revenue growth, with tech, communication services and health care stocks reporting double-digit growth.Caesars Entertainment (CZR, +13.0%) beat Wall Street's estimate for fourth-quarter revenue, and the consumer discretionary stock soared as management reassured investors, traders and speculators about the situation in its key market while seasonal factors take hold."There's really no crisis happening in Vegas," CEO Tom Reeg said on management's conference call. "The way I'd characterize the business is peak events, peak weekends, big conferences," he added, conceding that demand is "challenging" during "shoulder periods" with no big events or conferences on the calendar.Caesars reported adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization (EBITDA) of $901 million, short of Wall Street's estimate of $902.5 million. Revenue was up 4% year over year to $2.92 billion and beat the Street's call for $2.8 billion. Las Vegas properties posted EBITDA of $447 million vs a consensus forecast of $447 million, though revenue was down 3.4%.Susquehanna analyst Joseph Stauff, who upgraded CZR to Positive (Buy) from Neutral (Hold) in January, reiterated his rating but reduced his 12-month target price from $31 to $29 following management's earnings announcement.The fourth-quarter print is "likely the beginning of a 'beat & raise' earnings streak outlook which should drive meaningful upside in the stock," the analyst concludes, citing regional trends for its core Las Vegas operations, improving online casino growth and consumer tailwinds during the February-March-April tax refund season.Apple (AAPL, +0.2%) hasn't been immune to the pressures impacting tech stocks since late 2025, but the iPhone maker has outperformed its sector recently. And at least one interested (and interesting) observer sees Apple's relative strengths translating into absolute gains, at least in terms of AI share."Apple has three scheduled events this year on the calendar – March, May and September," Ritholtz Wealth Management CEO Josh Brown says. "Agentic Siri powered by Google Gemini will be the subject at one of them."And it's game on from there: "If you thought Apple wasn't coming for the entire consumer AI opportunity," Brown says, "I'm here to tell you that Apple is coming for the entire consumer AI opportunity." Eventually, according to Brown, other AI products will become "plug-ins" for the iOS-App Store ecosystem."Apple gets paid on everything, every app has to be interoperable with what it wants to do," he adds, noting that there are 2.5 billion active Apple devices on Earth, including iPhones, iPads, Macs, Apple Watches, AirPods, Apple TVs and MacBooks."Agentic Siri is going to run the table," Brown concludes. "Just a matter of when. Nobody is ready for it."AAPL stock was down 2.8% year to date through Tuesday, trailing the S&P 500's 0.1% gain but outperforming the State Street Technology Select Sector SPDR ETF (XLK, +1.0%) and its loss of 3.1% so far in 2026.On Wednesday, the Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) retreated to 19.41 from 20.92 on Tuesday. The market's "fear index" is up from 14.95 at the end of 2025, but has eased back into its "normal" range between 12 and 20.At the closing bell, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was up 0.8% to 22,753, the broader S&P 500 had added 0.6% to 6,881, and the blue chip Dow Jones Industrial Average was up 0.3% at 49,662.Profit and prosper with the best of Kiplinger's advice on investing, taxes, retirement, personal finance and much more. Delivered daily. Enter your email in the box and click Sign Me Up.David Dittman is the former managing editor and chief investment strategist of Utility Forecaster, which was named one of "10 investment newsletters to read besides Buffett's" in 2015. A graduate of the University of California, San Diego, and the Villanova University School of Law, and a former stockbroker, David has been working in financial media for more than 20 years. Quiz Test your basic knowledge of the "Medigap Trap" in our quick quiz. Mutual funds are many things, but "tax-friendly" usually isn't one of them. These are the exceptions.

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Your Social Security break-even age tells you how long you'd need to live for delaying to pay off, but shouldn't be the sole basis for deciding when to claim. Investors who combine Roth IRAs, the gold standard of tax-free savings, with qualified opportunity funds could enjoy decades of tax-free growth. If it feels like you can't sustain what you're doing for the next 20 years, it's time for an honest look at what's draining you and what energizes you. The impact of revolutionary technology has replaced world-changing trade policy as the major variable for markets, with mixed results for sectors and stocks. This increasingly popular Chinese game can teach us not only how to help manage our money but also how important it is to connect with other people. "Wealth Your Way" by Cosmo DeStefano offers a highly accessible guide for young adults and their parents on building wealth through simple, consistent habits.

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