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Merck: This Cancer‑Drug Powerhouse Could Be a Core Dividend Holding for Decades

newsfeedback@fool.com (Prosper Junior Bakiny)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The pharmaceutical giant’s shares surged 46% over the past year despite weak financials, outperforming the market amid declining HPV vaccine sales and looming Keytruda competition. Keytruda, the world’s top-selling cancer drug, faces patent expiration by 2028 and rivals like Summit Therapeutics’ ivonescimab, but its subcutaneous formulation and broad approvals should sustain dominance in key markets. Merck’s pipeline diversification includes Winrevair (pulmonary hypertension) and Capvaxive (pneumonia vaccine), with a potential flu vaccine breakthrough, offsetting future Keytruda revenue declines. Dividend growth remains robust, with a 93.8% payout increase over the past decade, a 2.8% forward yield, and a 45.1% payout ratio, signaling financial stability for income investors. Analysts highlight Merck’s resilience, positioning it as a long-term buy-and-hold stock despite patent cliffs and competitive pressures in its core oncology and vaccine segments.
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By Prosper Junior Bakiny – Feb 22, 2026 at 3:45PM ESTKey PointsThe pharmaceutical giant is finding ways to navigate despite headwinds. This has helped the shares outperform the market over the past year.Income investors should be pleased with Merck's dividend program. These 10 Stocks Could Mint the Next Wave of Millionaires ›NYSE: MRKMerckMarket Cap$303BToday's Changeangle-down(0.33%) $0.40Current Price$122.26Price as of February 20, 2026 at 4:00 PM ETThe company might bend, but it won't break.Over the past year, Merck's (MRK +0.33%) shares have climbed by 46%. That seems a bit surprising. Last year, the company's financial results were relatively weak as it faced declining revenue for one of its growth franchises, HPV vaccines Gardasil and Gardasil 9. The healthcare leader could also face increased competition for its most important product, cancer drug Keytruda. Despite all that, Merck remains a top stock to buy and hold for a while, especially for income seekers. Here's more. Image source: Getty Images. The Keytruda franchise can still perform well Keytruda is the world's best-selling cancer drug, and is approved across many different indications. But it will lose patent exclusivity by 2028. Meanwhile, several companies are developing products that could challenge Keytruda. That includes Summit Therapeutics' ivonescimab, a medicine that beat Keytruda in a head-to-head clinical trial in patients with non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) and a PD-L1 protein overexpression. Even with all that, Keytruda's empire, although weakened, should remain strong until the next decade. Merck has received approval for a subcutaneous formulation of the medicine, which has significant advantages. It is faster and easier to administer without sacrificing efficacy, making it much more convenient than the original version. There will likely be "Keytruda killers" approved in the next few years, but this well-established franchise should benefit from a large number of indications and proven outcomes. Those will help it maintain solid market share in its most important niches, including NSCLC. ExpandNYSE: MRKMerckToday's Change(0.33%) $0.40Current Price$122.26Key Data PointsMarket Cap$303BDay's Range$120.60 - $122.6952wk Range$73.31 - $123.33Volume9.4MAvg Vol14MGross Margin81.50%Dividend Yield2.68% Beyond Keytruda Merck has also diversified its lineup. Over the past few years, it has received approval for products such as Winrevair, a medicine for pulmonary arterial hypertension, and Capvaxive, a pneumonia vaccine. Both are generating solid sales (Winrevair's annual run rate is over $1 billion). The pipeline has been expanded as well and now boasts promising candidates, including a product that could revolutionize the influenza vaccine market. This is what Merck has been doing for a long time: developing new products to overcome competition and patent cliffs while maintaining consistent revenue and earnings, even with occasional sales drops due to various issues. The healthcare giant looks well positioned to continue down that road. The company's dividend looks secure. Merck's payouts have increased by 93.8% over the past decade, and its payout ratio of 45.1% suggests ample room for further dividend hikes. The stock currently offers a forward yield of 2.8%, which is well above the S&P 500's average of 1.2%. So, even with the fast-approaching Keytruda patent cliff and other challenges -- including those related to its HPV vaccine business -- Merck remains an excellent buy-and-hold dividend stock.Read NextFeb 22, 2026 •By Reuben Gregg BrewerCould Merck Stock Quietly Help Turn Steady Dividends Into a Millionaire Retirement?Dec 17, 2025 •By Reuben Gregg BrewerThe Ultimate High-Yield Drug Stock to Buy With $1,000 Right NowDec 9, 2025 •By Prosper Junior BakinyHere's 1 Major Catalyst Behind Merck Stock's Recent 3.8% BumpDec 7, 2025 •By James BrumleyMerck's Stock is Suddenly Soaring, but Is the Struggling Healthcare Giant a Buy?Dec 5, 2025 •By Reuben Gregg BrewerDo These 3 Healthcare Stocks Need a Checkup?Dec 5, 2025 •By Prosper Junior BakinyIs This Pharmaceutical Giant a Buy After a Major Acquisition?About the AuthorProsper Junior Bakiny is a contributing Motley Fool healthcare analyst covering biotechnology, pharmaceuticals, and healthcare stocks.

Before The Motley Fool, Prosper wrote about investing topics ranging from stock market news to private equity for various companies. He holds a master’s degree in corporate finance from the University of Maryland Global Campus.TMFPBakinyStocks MentionedMerckNYSE: MRK$122.26 (+0.33%) $+0.40*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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