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Market's Rotation A Lot Like March, 2000, With One Major Difference

Seeking Alpha
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⚡ Quantum Brief
The secular bull market turns 18 on March 9, 2026, marking its longest run since the 2009 post-financial-crisis recovery, though current rotations echo the volatile shifts seen in March 2000’s dot-com peak. International and emerging markets are outperforming in 2026, driven by a weakening U.S. dollar, with analysts projecting sustained momentum despite geopolitical tensions like the recent Iran airstrike disrupting early trading. Markets rebounded sharply after a 1.5% drop at Monday’s open, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closing positive, signaling resilience amid escalating Middle East conflicts and macroeconomic uncertainty. The 2026 rotation reflects a shift from tech-heavy growth stocks to broader equity sectors, mirroring 2000’s sectoral realignment but without the subsequent crash—suggesting structural differences in today’s market dynamics. Portfolio manager Brian Gilmartin notes the bull market’s longevity but warns of parallels to 2000, emphasizing the weaker dollar’s role in prolonging international equity gains and stabilizing emerging-market rallies.
Market's Rotation A Lot Like March, 2000, With One Major Difference

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Brian Gilmartin, CFA11.18K FollowersFollow5ShareSavePlay(9min)CommentsSummaryNext Monday, the 9th of March, 2026, will be the 18th anniversary of this secular bull stock market, which began on March 9th, 2009.International equity’s broad outperformance (which really started in ’25) is doing well again this year, as are emerging markets, and there is probably more left in the move if you look at the weaker dollar again in ’26.With the Iran air strike this weekend, the “trade” today acted well after the open, with the Nasdaq and S&P 500 closing positive after a -1.5% down open for the major indices. Maximusnd/iStock via Getty Images Next Monday, the 9th of March, 2026, will be the 18th anniversary of this secular bull stock market, which began on March 9th, 2009. The recent rotation that started in 2026 has seen – as of lastThis article was written byBrian Gilmartin, CFA11.18K FollowersFollowBrian Gilmartin, is a portfolio manager at Trinity Asset Management, a firm he founded in May, 1995, catering to individual investors and institutions that werent getting the attention and service deserved, from larger firms. Brian started in the business as a fixed-income / credit analyst, with a Chicago broker-dealer, and then worked at Stein Roe & Farnham in Chicago, from 1992 - 1995, before striking out on his own and managing equity and balanced accounts for clients. Brian has a BSBA (Finance) from Xavier University, Cincinnati, Ohio, (1982) and an MBA (Finance) from Loyola University, Chicago, January, 1985. The CFA was awarded in 1994. Brian has been fortunate enough to write for the TheStreet.com from 2000 to 2012, and then the WallStreet AllStars from August 2011, to Spring, 2012. Brian also wrote for Minyanville.com, and has been quoted in numerous publications including the Wall Street Journal.

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Source: Seeking Alpha