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Markets Are Bracing for Tonight's Iran Deadline. Here Is Why Your Long Term Portfolio Does Not Need to

newsfeedback@fool.com (Jeremy Bowman)
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⚡ Quantum Brief
A U.S. deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz expires tonight at 8:00 p.m. ET, with President Trump threatening strikes on civilian infrastructure if demands aren’t met. Pakistan’s PM requested a two-week extension. Oil prices surged from $70 to over $110 per barrel since the conflict began, fueling global inflation fears and market volatility. Stocks fluctuated but closed mixed Tuesday, reflecting uncertainty ahead of the deadline. Historical precedents show markets recover from geopolitical shocks, including wars and pandemics. The S&P 500 consistently rebounds, suggesting long-term investors should avoid reactionary moves during short-term turbulence. Diversified portfolios, like S&P 500 index funds, mitigate risk by balancing exposure across sectors—including energy, which benefits from rising oil prices during conflicts. Experts advise viewing sell-offs as buying opportunities, noting corrections often recover within months. Long-term growth trends outweigh short-term volatility, reinforcing patience as a key strategy.
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By Jeremy Bowman – Apr 7, 2026 at 6:12PM ESTKey PointsPresident Trump threatened to destroy civilian infrastructure in Iran if it didn't reopen the Strait of Hormuz by Tuesday night.Oil prices have spiked since the war broke out, pushing the stock market lower.Markets have faced similar crises in the past and have always rebounded. President Trump has set a deadline for Tuesday at 8:00 p.m ET, pledging to destroy Iran's bridges and power plants if it does not reopen the Strait of Hormuz. As of 6:00 p.m. ET, there was still no such attack, and Pakistan's Prime Minister, Shehbaz Sharif, has asked for Trump to extend his deadline by two weeks. Markets have been on edge since the president made that promise over the weekend, rising on Monday in hopes that there would be a resolution to the war, and inched up on Tuesday with two of the three major indexes finishing in the green despite trading lower for nearly the whole session. Image source: Getty Images. What long-term investors should remember Volatility has jumped since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran, as oil and commodity prices have spiked, which is likely to lead to inflation in much of the world. A barrel of Brent crude, the global standard, rose from roughly $70 to more than $110. However, there are a few things investors should keep in mind. First, there have been plenty of global shocks in history that have hit markets harder than the Iran war. Of course, the outcome is still unknown, which explains the uncertainty in the market, but stocks have bounced back from everything from the pandemic to the great financial crisis to multiple wars, and gone on to set all-time highs with enough time. Second, a well-diversified portfolio like an S&P 500 (^GSPC +0.08%) index fund is built to withstand this kind of volatility and deliver over the long run. The S&P 500 gives investors exposure to 500 of the top American companies, and the index refreshes itself every quarter to weed out the laggards and bring in the rising stars. It's also well-diversified, so you'll get exposure to sectors like energy that have done well during the war, even as the broad market has fallen. Finally, it's worth remembering that market sell-offs are great buying opportunities. While pessimism may seem appealing at a time like this, market corrections, defined as sell-offs of greater than 10% but less than 20%, often see a full recovery in just a matter of months. As my colleague Trevor Jennewine notes, bearish market sentiment tends to correlate with above-average gains, though that may sound counterintuitive. The bottom line here is that no one knows what will happen with the war or with the stock market in the short term, but we can be reasonably well assured that it will bounce back in the long term. After all, it's done that after every sell-off in market history. Read NextApr 7, 2026 •By Emma NewberyStock Market Today, April 7: Apple Slides Against Muted Market BackdropApr 7, 2026 •By David Jagielski, CPAWorried About a Stock Market Crash This Year? Don't Try Timing the Market, Do This InsteadApr 7, 2026 •By David Jagielski, CPAThese Are the Four Most Dangerous Words in Investing, According to This Legendary InvestorApr 7, 2026 •By David Jagielski, CPAAre You Hesitant to Invest in the Stock Market Because of the War in Iran?

This Warren Buffett Fact Might Have You Thinking TwiceApr 7, 2026 •By David DierkingStop Checking Your Portfolio Every Day: Here Is What It Is Actually Costing YouApr 7, 2026 •By Sean WilliamsAre Stagflation Fears Creeping Back Into the Picture? Here's What the Data and Fed Chair Jerome Powell Have to Say.About the AuthorJeremy Bowman has been a contributing Motley Fool stock market analyst, covering technology, consumer goods, and macroeconomic trends since 2011.

Before The Motley Fool, Jeremy was a newspaper reporter, restaurant manager, and English teacher abroad. He holds a bachelor’s degree in English from Colorado College and a master’s degree in business administration from American University. One of his Motley Fool headlines was briefly featured on Late Night with Stephen Colbert.TMFHoboX@TMFBowmanStocks MentionedS&P 500 IndexSNPINDEX: ^GSPC$6,616.85(+0.08%)+$5.02*Average returns of all recommendations since inception. Cost basis and return based on previous market day close.

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